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Stats as of

Musk5

0x1229233bad2fd7462955c6383448904b5432df38

+$39.2K
Tracked Trades
239
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2026
Best In World politics
74% won · 106 settled · +$34.9K

Musk5 is a Polymarket trader with 239 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 89 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, $39.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US recession by end of 2026? on Oct 27.

Win rate
75%
Return on settled
+28%
Money traded
$342.6K
Typical trade
$930.00
Avg entry
60¢
Polymarket rank
#761

Profit over time

+$39.2K-$2.8K
Aug 22Oct 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1011%33%+22 pts
20 to 40¢1632%100%+68 pts
40 to 60¢3945%82%+37 pts
60 to 80¢5872%60%-12 pts
Over 80¢11692%86%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $6836057%-$364.19
$683 to $9306074%+$3.2K
$936 to $1.5K6088%+$21.1K
$1.5K to $18K5992%+$15.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics17674%+$34.9K
Economic data36+$0.00
Fed and rates1992%+$4.3K
Commodities3+$0.00
Companies3+$0.00
Other politics2+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied Musk5

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$885.48
Profit
on $2,500.00 staked
20-5
Record
80% win rate
+35%
Return
7 still open
Profit over time25 settled trades
+$885.48-$100.00
Aug 17Oct 26
-$200.00
Max drawdown
168% below peak
4.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.77×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $500.00 lost
+8.9 pts
Edge vs implied
80% won at 71¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
2 trades

By category

politics22 settled+32%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

6 open positions worth $10.6K

The markets Musk5 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Musk5 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
US recession by end of 2026?
Oct 27, 23 fills
No91¢sold 91¢$21.1KExited
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 26, 36 fills
Yes58¢sold 64¢$40.9K+$30.2K
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Oct 25, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 84¢$2.4KExited
See every position across 42 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $40.9K on Yes at 58¢, Oct 25
    +$30.2K
  2. 2
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
    $2.6K on Yes at 19¢, Oct 22
    +$11.1K
  3. 3
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $10.7K on Yes at 60¢, Sep 16
    +$7.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?58¢36100%+$30.2K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60¢5123%-$6.7K
US recession by end of 2026?91¢23+$0.00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?97¢13100%+$467.79
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79¢90%-$2.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 30Oct 27

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$1.7K
Sep 2026+$25.3K
Oct 2026+$12.2K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position77%
Closed a position14%
Added to a position7%
Opened a new position2%

Polymarket leaderboards

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