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Stats as of

MisTKy

0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b

+$461.2K
Tracked Trades
2,851
First Seen
Aug 19, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In World politics
65% won · 677 settled · +$325.0K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active politics traders who bet one side: Abkha, Flipadelphia, 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05

MisTKy is a Polymarket trader with 2,851 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 680 wins and 388 losses on settled markets, $461.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? on Nov 3.

Win rate
64%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$10.1M
Typical trade
$1.8K
Avg entry
54¢
Polymarket rank
#125

Profit over time

+$567.6K-$33.8K
Aug 19Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢23914%20%+6 pts
20 to 40¢57628%52%+24 pts
40 to 60¢36750%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢79771%59%-12 pts
Over 80¢87288%87%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$109 to $90171357%+$19.3K
$902 to $1.8K71360%+$109.8K
$1.8K to $4.1K71365%+$157.7K
$4.1K to $82K71271%+$174.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics160765%+$325.0K
Fed and rates33978%+$168.8K
Economic data195+$0.00
US elections18457%+$26.8K
Tech and AI136+$0.00
Commodities21937%-$31.4K

Side taken

Yes 55%45% No

If you had copied MisTKy

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,041.36
Profit
on $15,000.00 staked
89-61
Record
59% win rate
-7%
Return
102 still open
Profit over time150 settled trades
+$120.70-$1.0K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
243% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.83×
Profit factor
$5.1K won vs $6.1K lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 61¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
71 trades

By category

finance14 settled+28%
politics125 settled-9%
culture7 settled-33%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

86 open positions worth $1.7M

The markets MisTKy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what MisTKy is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 5 fills
Yes26¢sold 27¢$2.1K-$2.1K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3, 25 fills
No69¢sold 66¢$123.3K+$55.6K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3, 4 fills
Yes25¢$5.9K-$5.9K
See every position across 196 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $145.1K on Yes at 20¢, Oct 25
    +$592.1K
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $222.6K on Yes at 58¢, Sep 16
    +$164.1K
  3. 3
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $40.5K on No at 23¢, Oct 25
    +$137.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?63¢195+$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?72¢5184%+$34.7K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?57¢13096%+$152.3K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?61¢116+$0.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?30¢13770%+$464.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$33.3K
Sep 2026+$57.0K
Oct 2026+$420.1K
Nov 2026-$49.1K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position57%
Added to a position19%
Opened a new position18%
Closed a position6%

Polymarket leaderboards

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