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Stats as of

Vilgefortz

0x3c918a8ef8c379304f744592120cbb4d76149af7

+$121.7K
Tracked Trades
273
First Seen
Aug 29, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
100% won · 76 settled · +$219.1K

Vilgefortz is a Polymarket trader with 273 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 98 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, $121.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? on Nov 3.

Win rate
77%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$2.8M
Typical trade
$4.1K
Avg entry
82¢
Polymarket rank
#345

Profit over time

+$164.0K+$0.00
Sep 8Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢117%
20 to 40¢1035%0%-35 pts
40 to 60¢1652%43%-9 pts
60 to 80¢5370%66%-4 pts
Over 80¢19388%96%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$507 to $1.7K6968%-$10.7K
$1.8K to $4.1K6866%-$15.0K
$4.1K to $12K68100%+$47.4K
$12K to $93K6889%+$100.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics14450%-$71.0K
Fed and rates82100%+$219.1K
US elections4138%-$26.4K
Companies6+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 47%53% No

If you had copied Vilgefortz

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$310.37
Profit
on $1,700.00 staked
11-6
Record
65% win rate
-18%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time17 settled trades
+$118.88-$310.37
Aug 24Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 17 so far.

By category

politics12 settled-44%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $64.0K

The markets Vilgefortz is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Vilgefortz is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Nov 3, 77 fills
No84¢sold 84¢$368.3KExited
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Yes96¢$6.7K+$252.16
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 6 fills
Yes54¢sold 56¢$8.2K-$8.2K
See every position across 21 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $620.9K on Yes at 86¢, Oct 25
    +$97.3K
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $218.4K on Yes at 71¢, Sep 14
    +$89.7K
  3. 3
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $170.2K on No at 84¢, Sep 15
    +$32.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢77+$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?86¢31100%+$97.3K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?71¢23100%+$89.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?93¢19+$0.00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?12+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$123.5K
Oct 2026-$1.3K
Nov 2026-$405.84

How they build positions

Added to a position45%
Trimmed a position42%
Opened a new position10%
Closed a position3%

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