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Stats as of

oliverbigfly

0x3d7132b61da1533afe09e1c293f479d3d054d427

-$4.8K
Tracked Trades
335
First Seen
Dec 9, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026

oliverbigfly is a Polymarket trader with 335 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 203 wins and 51 losses on settled markets, -$4.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? on Oct 15.

Win rate
80%
Return on settled
-24%
Money traded
$36.8K
Typical trade
$10.00
Avg entry
80¢
Polymarket rank
#8,383

Profit over time

+$506.00-$5.5K
Dec 9Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢910%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢1933%100%+67 pts
40 to 60¢2350%73%+23 pts
60 to 80¢7473%68%-4 pts
Over 80¢21091%84%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $28478%+$3.82
$2 to $108479%-$30.56
$10 to $698486%+$155.61
$72 to $3.9K8377%-$5.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Commodities8782%-$4.2K
World politics4240%-$89.75
Soccer11385%-$641.68
Economic data3272%-$21.23
Companies786%+$66.60
Tech and AI4100%+$35.16

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied oliverbigfly

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$442.25
Profit
on $1,300.00 staked
12-1
Record
92% win rate
+34%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time13 settled trades
+$442.25+$0.00
Aug 3Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 13 so far.

By category

finance8 settled+55%
sports5 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $217.59

The markets oliverbigfly is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what oliverbigfly is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?
Oct 15, 13 fills
No57¢sold 79¢$2.1KExited
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Oct 14, 7 fills
No92¢sold 95¢$600.00Exited
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?
Oct 1
No97¢$48.50+$1.50
See every position across 128 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
    $844.00 on No at 65¢, Aug 28
    +$455.51
  2. 2
    Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
    $124.93 on Yes at 30¢, Apr 16
    +$288.98
  3. 3
    Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
    $686.55 on No at 85¢, Jul 16
    +$121.30
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?54¢19+$0.00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?90¢60%-$3.8K
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?65¢13100%+$455.51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?92¢7+$0.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?98¢3100%+$13.25

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$12.05
Jan 2026-$1.73
Feb 2026-$27.24
Mar 2026+$11.66
Apr 2026-$25.91
May 2026+$72.39
Jun 2026+$47.93
Jul 2026+$417.95
Aug 2026-$5.5K
Sep 2026+$178.36
Oct 2026+$2.50

How they build positions

Trimmed a position60%
Closed a position40%

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