rivomarkets

balthazar

0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318

+$6.8K
Tracked Trades
387
First Seen
Aug 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

balthazar is a Polymarket trader with 387 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 99 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, $6.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? on Sep 19.

Win rate
77%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$224.8K
Typical trade
$692
Copy score
69/100
Polymarket rank
#1,077

Profit over time

+$6.8K-$5.5K
Aug 18Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢473%0%-3 pts
20 to 40¢2229%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢4253%50%-3 pts
60 to 80¢8574%83%+9 pts
Over 80¢17389%92%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $999364%-$114
$99 to $6929263%-$3.5K
$695 to $82492100%+$3.2K
$825 to $2.7K9295%+$7.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Politics17485%+$9.0K
Finance6676%-$2.3K
Culture11774%-$525
Crypto9100%+$727
Sports30%-$49

Side taken

Yes 45%55% No

If you had copied balthazar

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$673
Profit
on $12800 staked
99-29
Record
77% win rate
-5%
Return
148 still open
Profit over time128 settled trades
+$0-$1.9K
Aug 17Sep 14
-$2.1K
Max drawdown
3095% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.77×
Profit factor
$2.2K won vs $2.9K lost
+0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
77% won at 77¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
73 trades

By category

politics40 settled+17%
crypto6 settled+16%
culture46 settled-14%
finance33 settled-15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

33 open positions worth $121.5K

The markets balthazar is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what balthazar is holding

Recent positions

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Sep 19, 7 fills, avg 23¢
BUYNO$4.9KOpen
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Sep 19, 58 fills, avg 80¢
BUYNO$48.8KOpen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 87¢
BUYNO$1.4K+$210
See every position across 145 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
    $15.0K on Yes, Sep 11
    +$8.8K
  2. 2
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $9.7K on No, Sep 16
    +$2.3K
  3. 3
    US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
    $9.0K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$1.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?58+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?19100%+$8.8K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?20+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?9100%+$1.4K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?12100%+$2.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$1.9K
Sep 2026+$8.7K

How they build positions

Closed a position79%
Trimmed a position12%
Opened a new position9%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy balthazar's next trade the moment it lands.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.