rivomarkets

Get an alert the moment balthazar trades.

Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.

Get alerts on balthazar

Stats as of

balthazar

0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318

+$42.8K
Tracked Trades
1,900
First Seen
Aug 18, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Soccer
96% won · 287 settled · +$24.9K

balthazar is a Polymarket trader with 1,900 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,235 wins and 248 losses on settled markets, $42.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? on Nov 3.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$1.5M
Typical trade
$750.00
Avg entry
78¢
Polymarket rank
#872

Profit over time

+$42.8K-$17.0K
Aug 18Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢514%18%+14 pts
20 to 40¢5030%38%+9 pts
40 to 60¢16854%56%+2 pts
60 to 80¢53471%78%+7 pts
Over 80¢109793%93%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $60547576%+$11.6K
$606 to $75047586%+$44.4K
$750 to $90147581%-$5.8K
$901 to $3.5K47590%-$7.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics105477%-$354.57
Soccer31796%+$24.9K
Fed and rates10484%+$2.0K
US elections8095%+$6.5K
Tech and AI7488%-$1.7K
Esports40100%+$1.2K

Side taken

Yes 19%81% No

If you had copied balthazar

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$892.35
Profit
on $25,000.00 staked
210-40
Record
84% win rate
+4%
Return
138 still open
Profit over time250 settled trades
+$892.35-$1.1K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
1855% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22×
Profit factor
$4.9K won vs $4.0K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
84% won at 81¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
49 trades

By category

politics133 settled+9%
finance23 settled+8%
sports31 settled-5%
culture58 settled-6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

134 open positions worth $265.6K

The markets balthazar is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what balthazar is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3
Yes73¢$730.00+$270.00
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?
Nov 3, 2 fills
No98¢$2.4K+$49.60
Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?
Nov 3
No93¢$512.79+$41.38
See every position across 410 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $99.8K on No at 66¢, Oct 25
    +$51.9K
  2. 2
    Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
    $65.2K on No at 79¢, Oct 26
    +$17.1K
  3. 3
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
    $30.3K on No at 66¢, Oct 25
    +$15.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?68¢18974%+$12.4K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?98¢92100%+$1.3K
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?79¢86100%+$17.1K
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?83¢69100%+$11.8K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?65¢7535%-$30.5K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$3.7K
Sep 2026+$16.0K
Oct 2026+$30.7K
Nov 2026-$200.43

How they build positions

Closed a position80%
Trimmed a position11%
Opened a new position9%

Polymarket leaderboards

Similar Polymarket traders

Build a bot that copies balthazar.

Bring balthazar into the builder and test their record at your size. Run a paper bot to follow new trades. Enable trader alerts independently to keep up through Telegram and the app. Place supported manual trades through your connected wallet.