Polymarketcigarettes
0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9
+$90.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,573
- First Seen
- Aug 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 19, 2026
cigarettes is a Polymarket trader with 1,573 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1012 wins and 375 losses on settled markets, $90.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Florida vs. Auburn on Sep 19.
- Win rate
- 73%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $1.7M
- Typical trade
- $795
- Copy score
- 71/100
- Polymarket rank
- #192
Profit over time
+$105.1K-$28.8K
Aug 18Sep 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4014%11%-3 pts
20 to 40¢10532%28%-4 pts
40 to 60¢32750%69%+19 pts
60 to 80¢41871%71%+0 pts
Over 80¢58791%91%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $61037073%+$16.9K
$611 to $79536973%+$43.4K
$795 to $1.1K36976%+$20.5K
$1.2K to $15K36973%+$24.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports59170%+$9.4K
Culture51971%-$7.8K
Finance23789%+$96.3K
Politics12896%+$7.7K
Crypto250%-$585
Side taken
Yes 27%73% No
If you had copied cigarettes
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$11673
Profit
on $132000 staked
974-346
Record
74% win rate
+9%
Return
157 still open
+$11.7K-$2.3K
Aug 17Sep 14
-$3.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
3.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.34×
Profit factor
$46.3K won vs $34.6K lost
+4.7 pts
Edge vs implied
74% won at 69¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 300 trades
By category
finance203 settled+67%
politics28 settled+35%
sports587 settled-1%
culture500 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
62 open positions worth $154.8K
The markets cigarettes is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Florida vs. Auburn
Sep 19, avg 52¢
Marshall vs. Missouri State
Sep 19, avg 82¢
UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
Sep 19, avg 80¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$60.3KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$68.8K on Yes, Sep 15
- 2+$52.1KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$64.3K on No, Sep 16
- 3+$9.7KO/U 55.5$9.7K on Over, Sep 12
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?10385%+$41.2K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?9992%+$55.1K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?9+$0
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-26?7100%+$8.8K
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?13+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 22Sep 19
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$774
Sep 2026+$104.3K
How they build positions
Opened a new position75%
Added to a position25%
Similar Polymarket traders
Copy cigarettes's next trade the moment it lands.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.