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Stats as of

Marios15t

0x612f885bd3d0236ea53ebfd501fae971c59c05d8

+$16.8K
Tracked Trades
277
First Seen
May 14, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Soccer
54% won · 217 settled · +$19.3K

Marios15t is a Polymarket trader with 277 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 125 wins and 115 losses on settled markets, $16.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Spread: Thunder (-8.5) on Oct 22.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$167.2K
Typical trade
$583
Avg entry
39¢
Polymarket rank
#1,404

Profit over time

+$19.6K-$7.1K
May 14Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢158%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢4334%44%+10 pts
40 to 60¢17750%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢964%100%+36 pts
Over 80¢3398%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$25 to $5007047%+$5.1K
$500 to $5836949%+$2.5K
$583 to $6706955%+$3.7K
$676 to $1.7K6963%+$5.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer24954%+$19.3K
Tennis1333%-$2.1K
NBA933%+$33
Basketball10%-$467
Solana2100%+$79
World politics10%-$30

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied Marios15t

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2825
Profit
on $22100 staked
117-104
Record
53% win rate
+13%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time221 settled trades
+$2.8K-$1.3K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
1040% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.27×
Profit factor
$13.2K won vs $10.4K lost
+5.9 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 47¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
26 trades

By category

sports190 settled+13%
culture31 settled+11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $991

The markets Marios15t is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Marios15t is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Oct 22, 2 fills
Nuggets52¢$1.1K-$1.1K
Bulls vs. Bucks
Oct 22, 2 fills
Bulls50¢$1.0K+$1.0K
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?
Oct 22, 2 fills
No47¢$1.3K-$1.3K
See every position across 140 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?
    $1.1K on No at 33¢, Sep 27
    +$2.2K
  2. 2
    Will Greece win on 2026-09-24?
    $1.3K on Yes at 39¢, Sep 24
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
    $321 on Yes at 14¢, Sep 27
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?54¢4100%+$1.3K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?41¢4100%+$1.7K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.546¢4100%+$1.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?56¢4100%+$1.0K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?38¢4100%+$911

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

May 2026+$545
Jun 2026-$55
Aug 2026-$1.5K
Sep 2026+$3.8K
Oct 2026+$14.0K

How they build positions

Closed a position65%
Trimmed a position35%

Polymarket leaderboards

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