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Stats as of

casualbet2020

0x65c18d740c8246af3353741c0b32e4b6da552988

+$153.1K
Tracked Trades
279
First Seen
Jul 29, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 26, 2026
Best In Esports
63% won · 245 settled · +$145.9K

casualbet2020 is a Polymarket trader with 279 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 169 wins and 110 losses on settled markets, $153.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) on Sep 26.

Win rate
61%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$856.4K
Typical trade
$1.1K
Avg entry
49¢
Polymarket rank
#228

Profit over time

+$203.0K-$22.0K
Jul 29Sep 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢116%0%-16 pts
20 to 40¢3832%29%-3 pts
40 to 60¢12849%55%+6 pts
60 to 80¢10067%77%+10 pts
Over 80¢1283%92%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5457061%+$2.5K
$550 to $1.1K7057%-$1.1K
$1.1K to $3.5K7059%-$5.5K
$3.6K to $29K6965%+$157.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports24563%+$145.9K
Baseball771%+$68.3K
NFL1323%-$31.4K
MMA40%-$25.6K
Tennis10%-$4.5K
Other culture667%+$137

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied casualbet2020

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2507
Profit
on $27900 staked
169-110
Record
61% win rate
+9%
Return
Profit over time279 settled trades
+$3.6K-$1.5K
Jul 27Sep 21
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
1627% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$13.5K won vs $11.0K lost
+6.1 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 54¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
18 trades

By category

sports186 settled+13%
culture93 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)
Sep 26
Josiah Harrell54¢$10.2K-$10.2K
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5
Sep 25, 6 fills
Under53¢$16.2K-$16.2K
Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 46.5
Sep 24, 2 fills
Under52¢$2.0K+$1.8K
See every position across 136 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
    $50.3K on Legacy at 51¢, Aug 27
    +$48.1K
  2. 2
    Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
    $16.5K on Chicago Cubs at 36¢, Aug 4
    +$29.3K
  3. 3
    Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
    $30.4K on Atlanta Braves at 52¢, Aug 27
    +$28.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B51¢7100%+$48.1K
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs63¢1694%+$19.5K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs45¢2100%+$52.7K
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A80¢6100%+$9.6K
Valorant: Global Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs77¢2100%+$9.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 29Sep 26

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$10.3K
Aug 2026+$199.9K
Sep 2026-$36.5K

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

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