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Stats as of

soluble

0x6f938211596d7367c1b12e06e45eb4d6bb16355b

-$38.0K
Tracked Trades
250
First Seen
Nov 9, 2024
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026

soluble is a Polymarket trader with 250 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 94 wins and 73 losses on settled markets, -$38.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? on Nov 2.

Win rate
56%
Return on settled
-14%
Money traded
$414.7K
Typical trade
$508.00
Avg entry
75¢
Polymarket rank
#8,567

Profit over time

+$0.00-$39.5K
Nov 9Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3112%5%-7 pts
20 to 40¢3232%14%-18 pts
40 to 60¢3550%26%-24 pts
60 to 80¢2768%50%-18 pts
Over 80¢12596%94%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1596335%-$1.4K
$163 to $5086336%-$5.4K
$510 to $3.0K6269%-$9.9K
$3.0K to $19K6291%-$21.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin13576%-$11.5K
Fed and rates3346%-$19.5K
World politics4625%-$3.1K
US politics2010%-$4.9K
US elections2100%+$490.77
Other politics925%-$483.63

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied soluble

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$53.67
Profit
on $500.00 staked
4-1
Record
80% win rate
+11%
Return
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$53.67-$100.00
Aug 31Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Nov 2
Yes72¢$510.24+$198.43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Oct 29
Yes93¢$3.9K+$292.34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 28, 6 fills
Yes84¢sold 96¢$4.4K+$862.18
See every position across 118 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
    $4.7K on Yes at 57¢, Nov 19
    +$3.5K
  2. 2
    US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
    $400.00 on Yes at 20¢, Feb 27
    +$1.6K
  3. 3
    Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally?
    $954.63 on Yes at 39¢, Jan 19
    +$1.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?59¢70%-$21.6K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET96¢30%-$5.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET99¢2100%+$81.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET98¢2100%+$121.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET98¢3100%+$83.44

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Feb 2025-$899.85
Sep 2025-$956.16
Oct 2025-$1.2K
Nov 2025-$19.0K
Jan 2026-$3.7K
Feb 2026+$5.5K
Mar 2026-$10.4K
May 2026-$2.0K
Aug 2026-$1.1K
Sep 2026-$175.32
Oct 2026+$1.2K
Nov 2026+$198.43

How they build positions

Closed a position67%
Opened a new position17%
Trimmed a position17%

Polymarket leaderboards

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