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Stats as of

Rafael88

0x720bd69011aa5a9ef7846e88648218a7b33d37f6

+$148.7K
Tracked Trades
87
First Seen
Aug 28, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In World politics
25% won · 20 settled · +$47.5K

Rafael88 is a Polymarket trader with 87 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, $148.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 23.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
+358%
Money traded
$141.8K
Typical trade
$1.0K
Avg entry
27¢
Polymarket rank
#591

Profit over time

+$148.7K-$12.0K
Sep 3Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1413%100%+87 pts
20 to 40¢1133%100%+67 pts
40 to 60¢1147%0%-47 pts
60 to 80¢1669%
Over 80¢3586%38%-48 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$504 to $8102225%-$1.6K
$810 to $1.0K2260%+$12.8K
$1.0K to $1.8K2250%-$3.1K
$1.9K to $5.0K2175%+$140.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics8048%+$148.2K
Commodities5+$0
Entertainment2100%+$501

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied Rafael88

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$4806
Profit
on $2500 staked
13-12
Record
52% win rate
+192%
Return
22 still open
Profit over time25 settled trades
+$4.8K-$700
Aug 24Oct 19
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
4.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
5.00×
Profit factor
$6.0K won vs $1.2K lost
+4.9 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 47¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
15 trades

By category

politics23 settled+208%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $4.9K

The markets Rafael88 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Rafael88 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 23, 6 fills
No15¢sold 23¢$11.3K+$63.8K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Oct 23, 5 fills
Yes12¢sold 11¢$2.0KExited
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 15, 6 fills
Yes12¢$13.8K+$96.9K
See every position across 11 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $13.8K on Yes at 12¢, Oct 15
    +$96.9K
  2. 2
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $11.3K on No at 15¢, Oct 23
    +$63.8K
  3. 3
    Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
    $3.4K on No at 87¢, Oct 9
    +$501
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?25¢2525%+$51.2K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?76¢21+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?12¢6100%+$96.9K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?85¢11+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?35¢6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$5.8K
Oct 2026+$154.5K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position69%
Closed a position15%
Added to a position10%
Opened a new position6%

Polymarket leaderboards

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