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Stats as of

Japan

0x8258418b6998374ded31ee1c77c8b07a593df208

+$48.4K
Tracked Trades
468
First Seen
Jul 9, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In US elections
95% won · 41 settled · +$105.0K

Japan is a Polymarket trader with 468 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 178 wins and 227 losses on settled markets, $48.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? on Oct 15.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+15%
Money traded
$371.8K
Typical trade
$183.02
Avg entry
44¢
Polymarket rank
#1,956

Profit over time

+$86.6K-$3.0K
Jul 9Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7710%10%+0 pts
20 to 40¢12932%18%-14 pts
40 to 60¢12449%44%-5 pts
60 to 80¢10369%79%+10 pts
Over 80¢3586%93%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5011735%-$591.97
$50 to $18211749%-$226.61
$184 to $72611736%-$14.2K
$740 to $20K11755%+$63.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections4695%+$105.0K
Mentions15529%-$23.5K
NBA8723%-$17.7K
World politics2575%-$5.6K
Economic data2340%-$688.78
US politics2840%-$2.3K

Side taken

Yes 47%53% No

If you had copied Japan

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

3 of 5 needed have resolved. 10 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Oct 15, 7 fills
Yes63¢$8.5K+$5.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sep 23, 3 fills
Yes66¢$15.0K+$7.7K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Sep 23, 3 fills
Yes66¢$2.3K+$1.2K
See every position across 212 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
    $116.0K on Yes at 59¢, Oct 26
    +$81.0K
  2. 2
    Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
    $8.2K on Yes at 43¢, Nov 6
    +$10.7K
  3. 3
    Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
    $23.2K on No at 71¢, Jan 20
    +$9.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?59¢16100%+$81.0K
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?39¢530%-$27.6K
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?71¢15100%+$9.6K
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?68¢30%-$9.7K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?66¢3100%+$7.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Jul 2024+$5.4K
Aug 2024+$747.33
Oct 2024+$78.0K
Nov 2024+$1.1K
Dec 2024+$232.49
Jan 2025-$2.8K
Feb 2025-$25.4K
Mar 2025-$12.5K
May 2025-$10.3K
Sep 2026+$11.7K
Oct 2026+$2.3K

How they build positions

Opened a new position67%
Trimmed a position33%

Polymarket leaderboards

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