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Stats as of

0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b

+$354.1K
Tracked Trades
639
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In World politics
50% won · 165 settled · +$245.3K

0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 is a Polymarket trader with 639 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 253 wins and 90 losses on settled markets, $354.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? on Nov 3.

Win rate
74%
Return on settled
+16%
Money traded
$3.9M
Typical trade
$2.2K
Avg entry
79¢
Polymarket rank
#144

Profit over time

+$470.9K-$6.8K
Aug 20Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3916%100%+84 pts
20 to 40¢330%
40 to 60¢356%100%+44 pts
60 to 80¢7071%59%-12 pts
Over 80¢52492%73%-18 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$509 to $96716064%+$5.8K
$980 to $2.2K16075%+$16.4K
$2.2K to $5.1K16076%-$19.4K
$5.1K to $250K15980%+$351.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics28850%+$245.3K
Bitcoin187100%+$23.9K
US elections72100%+$78.6K
Fed and rates30100%+$1.8K
Commodities12100%+$639.23
Esports2660%+$2.2K

Side taken

Yes 29%71% No

If you had copied 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$589.39
Profit
on $5,100.00 staked
46-5
Record
90% win rate
+12%
Return
33 still open
Profit over time51 settled trades
+$664.99+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2
-$173.42
Max drawdown
26% below peak
3.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.18×
Profit factor
$1.1K won vs $500.00 lost
+4.3 pts
Edge vs implied
90% won at 86¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
3 trades

By category

politics19 settled+19%
crypto18 settled+13%
sports10 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

33 open positions worth $1.1M

The markets 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 3, 37 fills
No92¢sold 91¢$151.7K+$13.2K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 2, 9 fills
Yes93¢sold 91¢$91.2K+$6.5K
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?
Oct 30, 6 fills
No93¢$15.8K+$1.3K
See every position across 85 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $127.5K on Yes at 18¢, Oct 13
    +$597.6K
  2. 2
    2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
    $96.9K on Yes at 63¢, Oct 7
    +$56.7K
  3. 3
    Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $151.7K on No at 92¢, Nov 3
    +$13.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84¢920%-$257.9K
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99¢10100%+$1.6K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?28¢6047%+$480.9K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢38+$0.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢37100%+$13.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$7.6K
Sep 2026+$11.5K
Oct 2026+$331.8K
Nov 2026+$3.1K

How they build positions

Added to a position56%
Trimmed a position30%
Opened a new position14%

Polymarket leaderboards

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