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Stats as of

Istaroth

0x9efda3d6354152901fc4706c3b1a9ce50b45ad00

+$4.9K
Tracked Trades
627
First Seen
Aug 24, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In US elections
84% won · 44 settled · +$6.7K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active politics traders who bet one side: Abkha, Flipadelphia, 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05

Istaroth is a Polymarket trader with 627 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 117 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $4.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? on Nov 3.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$1.2M
Typical trade
$898.51
Avg entry
42¢
Polymarket rank
#2,467

Profit over time

+$15.6K-$8.6K
Aug 25Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2713%100%+87 pts
20 to 40¢7832%45%+14 pts
40 to 60¢6551%53%+2 pts
60 to 80¢17571%74%+3 pts
Over 80¢28288%98%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $62615783%+$5.5K
$629 to $89915782%+$2.2K
$900 to $1.4K15780%+$1.7K
$1.4K to $114K15688%-$4.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics18786%-$5.0K
Other crypto28+$0.00
US elections12984%+$6.6K
Companies7075%-$277.70
Tech and AI42100%+$1.6K
Commodities32100%+$1.4K

Side taken

Yes 40%60% No

If you had copied Istaroth

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,757.05
Profit
on $10,000.00 staked
77-23
Record
77% win rate
+18%
Return
260 still open
Profit over time100 settled trades
+$1.8K+$0.00
Aug 24Nov 2
-$530.82
Max drawdown
29% below peak
3.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.76×
Profit factor
$4.1K won vs $2.3K lost
+5.5 pts
Edge vs implied
77% won at 72¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
13 trades

By category

politics67 settled+28%
finance8 settled+13%
culture10 settled+2%
sports13 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

255 open positions worth $422.1K

The markets Istaroth is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Istaroth is holding

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
    $1.6K on No at 10¢, Aug 26
    +$14.3K
  2. 2
    Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    $1.6K on No at 39¢, Nov 3
    +$2.4K
  3. 3
    NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    $11.0K on No at 85¢, Oct 23
    +$1.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?29¢25+$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?14¢4+$0.00
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?59¢950%-$9.4K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?60¢10+$0.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?53¢20+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$8.1K
Oct 2026+$10.7K
Nov 2026+$2.3K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position61%
Closed a position28%
Opened a new position12%

Polymarket leaderboards

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