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Stats as of

ratehikes

0xa309f903dbbd559e87d8d368834b8e41355c4cf2

+$26.5K
Tracked Trades
202
First Seen
Sep 1, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
74% won · 73 settled · +$93.2K

ratehikes is a Polymarket trader with 202 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 92 wins and 51 losses on settled markets, $26.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
64%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$1.1M
Typical trade
$2.9K
Avg entry
41¢
Polymarket rank
#1,094

Profit over time

+$205.6K+$0.00
Sep 1Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢207%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢1135%57%+22 pts
40 to 60¢8649%83%+34 pts
60 to 80¢4970%36%-33 pts
Over 80¢3688%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $1.0K5170%+$5.4K
$1.0K to $2.9K5170%+$30.7K
$2.9K to $7.0K5062%+$46.9K
$7.3K to $30K5052%-$56.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates13174%+$93.2K
NFL5744%-$80.6K
US elections11100%+$5.0K
World politics3100%+$8.9K

Side taken

Yes 52%48% No

If you had copied ratehikes

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$318.51
Profit
on $3,300.00 staked
18-15
Record
55% win rate
+10%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time33 settled trades
+$318.51-$455.68
Aug 31Nov 2
-$753.61
Max drawdown
288% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.21×
Profit factor
$1.8K won vs $1.5K lost
+1.5 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

finance6 settled-6%
sports23 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $300.6K

The markets ratehikes is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ratehikes is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Nov 4, 2 fills
Yes99¢$19.8K+$218.66
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4
Yes97¢$2.4K+$77.50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4, 6 fills
Yes98¢$32.4K+$773.97
See every position across 44 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $167.0K on No at 48¢, Sep 10
    +$183.7K
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $63.9K on Yes at 48¢, Sep 10
    +$68.7K
  3. 3
    Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5
    $27.4K on Over at 58¢, Sep 24
    +$19.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?48¢4194%+$127.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?79¢21+$0.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?12¢140%-$108.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?76¢14+$0.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?48¢16100%+$68.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$115.0K
Oct 2026-$102.4K
Nov 2026+$14.0K

How they build positions

Opened a new position58%
Added to a position26%
Trimmed a position12%
Closed a position4%

Polymarket leaderboards

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