rivomarkets

Elias.Thornwell

0xa66790e2b0075e73c3781ddaf1d0b875a3aaceb3

+$6.8K
Tracked Trades
47
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

Elias.Thornwell is a Polymarket trader with 47 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 5 losses on settled markets, $6.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US recession by end of 2026? on Sep 19.

Win rate
69%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$80.5K
Typical trade
$930
Copy score
44/100
Polymarket rank
#1,082

Profit over time

+$6.8K-$2.1K
Aug 20Sep 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢235%0%-35 pts
40 to 60¢553%50%-3 pts
60 to 80¢973%80%+7 pts
Over 80¢2893%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$516 to $635110%-$1.2K
$684 to $907110%-$1.8K
$954 to $1.5K1186%+$959
$1.5K to $12K11100%+$8.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Finance2367%+$6.7K
Crypto5100%+$100
Culture6+$0
Politics10+$0

Side taken

Yes 41%59% No

If you had copied Elias.Thornwell

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$125
Profit
on $1600 staked
11-5
Record
69% win rate
-8%
Return
26 still open
Profit over time16 settled trades
+$0-$125
Aug 17Sep 14

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 16 so far.

By category

finance15 settled-9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $29.5K

The markets Elias.Thornwell is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Elias.Thornwell is holding

Recent positions

US recession by end of 2026?
Sep 19, 3 fills, avg 93¢
BUYNO$3.8KOpen
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Sep 18, 2 fills, avg 84¢
BUYNO$1.4KOpen
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Sep 16, 2 fills, avg 74¢
BUYYES$1.8KOpen
See every position across 17 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $29.4K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$10.7K
  2. 2
    Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
    $1.2K on No, Aug 23
    +$100
  3. 3
    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $15.0K on No, Sep 2
    +$84
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?6100%+$10.7K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?4100%+$84
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?2+$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?2+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?50%-$4.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$949
Sep 2026+$7.8K

How they build positions

Added to a position57%
Trimmed a position29%
Opened a new position14%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy Elias.Thornwell's next trade the moment it lands.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.