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Stats as of

Elias.Thornwell

0xa66790e2b0075e73c3781ddaf1d0b875a3aaceb3

+$10.1K
Tracked Trades
171
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
70% won · 20 settled · +$7.3K

Elias.Thornwell is a Polymarket trader with 171 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 55 wins and 11 losses on settled markets, $10.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? on Nov 2.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$227.2K
Typical trade
$888.75
Avg entry
79¢
Polymarket rank
#1,871

Profit over time

+$10.5K-$2.1K
Aug 20Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢212%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢334%0%-34 pts
40 to 60¢1152%50%-2 pts
60 to 80¢4871%95%+24 pts
Over 80¢10791%91%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$501 to $6104364%-$1.4K
$614 to $8894394%+$1.1K
$899 to $1.2K4382%+$1.1K
$1.2K to $12K4288%+$9.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics5462%-$3.3K
Fed and rates2970%+$7.3K
US elections48100%+$5.1K
Economic data9+$0.00
Bitcoin7+$0.00
Commodities12100%+$991.36

Side taken

Yes 28%72% No

If you had copied Elias.Thornwell

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$169.05
Profit
on $3,300.00 staked
28-5
Record
85% win rate
+5%
Return
33 still open
Profit over time33 settled trades
+$169.05-$90.55
Aug 17Nov 2
-$338.46
Max drawdown
180% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.34×
Profit factor
$669.05 won vs $500.00 lost
+6.9 pts
Edge vs implied
85% won at 78¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
9 trades

By category

politics25 settled+7%
finance6 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

36 open positions worth $89.6K

The markets Elias.Thornwell is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Elias.Thornwell is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Nov 2, 8 fills
No69¢sold 63¢$7.7KExited
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Nov 2, 2 fills
No73¢$2.2K+$814.36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 2
Yes76¢$1.2K+$384.55
See every position across 74 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $29.4K on Yes at 73¢, Sep 13
    +$10.7K
  2. 2
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $3.1K on Yes at 62¢, Oct 19
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $15.1K on No at 92¢, Nov 1
    +$1.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?73¢6100%+$10.7K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?69¢8+$0.00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢11100%+$1.3K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99¢4100%+$83.91
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢4+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$949.00
Sep 2026+$9.9K
Oct 2026-$295.22
Nov 2026+$1.4K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position45%
Added to a position29%
Closed a position18%
Opened a new position8%

Polymarket leaderboards

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