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Stats as of

Numitus1994

0xa815f590e64fa64d417df72c581a32f5ff449cbe

+$367
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Oct 15, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 20, 2026
Best In Esports
18% won · 11 settled · +$19

Numitus1994 is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 49 losses on settled markets, $367 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000? on Oct 20.

Win rate
22%
Return on settled
+158%
Money traded
$3.6K
Typical trade
$2
Avg entry
9¢
Polymarket rank
#4,048

Profit over time

+$383-$4
Oct 15Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9669%23%+14 pts
20 to 40¢3422%0%-22 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125014%+$19
$1 to $225020%+$45
$2 to $425031%+$89
$4 to $3125025%+$213

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics17613%+$17
US elections177+$0
Entertainment101+$0
Soccer117+$0
NFL830%-$3
Tech and AI4625%+$7

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied Numitus1994

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$8110
Profit
on $6300 staked
14-49
Record
22% win rate
+129%
Return
909 still open
Profit over time63 settled trades
+$8.9K+$0
Oct 12Oct 19
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
16% below peak
7.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.66×
Profit factor
$13.0K won vs $4.9K lost
+14.1 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 8¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
11 trades

By category

culture8 settled+247%
politics37 settled+162%
sports15 settled+29%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

726 open positions worth $3.2K

The markets Numitus1994 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Numitus1994 is holding

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
    $39 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 16
    +$324
  2. 2
    Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?
    $4 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 18
    +$47
  3. 3
    Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
    $4 on No at 8¢, Oct 17
    +$47
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?9¢10+$0
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?9¢6+$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?11¢5+$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?11¢5+$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?10¢5+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 23Oct 20

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$367

Polymarket leaderboards

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