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Stats as of

bettingonwar

0xaff4dcf2845f89f381c3e65ee348526b7c1fde3c

+$5.8K
Tracked Trades
28
First Seen
Sep 15, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 25, 2026

bettingonwar is a Polymarket trader with 28 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $5.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? on Oct 25.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$110.0K
Typical trade
$2.7K
Avg entry
83¢
Polymarket rank
#2,464

Profit over time

+$5.8K+$0.00
Sep 15Oct 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢129%
Over 80¢2793%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$890 to $1.0K7100%+$272.72
$1.9K to $2.3K7100%+$590.00
$3.0K to $6.0K7100%+$338.22
$6.0K to $10K7100%+$4.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Commodities17100%+$2.3K
US elections4100%+$2.3K
Companies3+$0.00
Fed and rates2100%+$1.2K
World politics2+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 18%82% No

If you had copied bettingonwar

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$53.11
Profit
on $600.00 staked
6-0
Record
100% win rate
+9%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$53.11+$0.00
Sep 14Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $30.3K

The markets bettingonwar is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bettingonwar is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Oct 25, 2 fills
No93¢$4.7K+$350.00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Oct 14, 2 fills
No92¢$17.4K+$1.4K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Oct 14, 2 fills
No88¢$2.0K+$272.72
See every position across 10 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $20.1K on Yes at 91¢, Oct 14
    +$2.0K
  2. 2
    US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
    $17.4K on No at 92¢, Oct 14
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    Fed rate hike in 2026?
    $15.4K on Yes at 93¢, Sep 15
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?94¢8100%+$578.22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢2100%+$2.0K
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?92¢2100%+$1.4K
Fed rate hike in 2026?93¢2100%+$1.2K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?97¢2+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 28Oct 25

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.7K
Oct 2026+$4.0K

How they build positions

Opened a new position65%
Trimmed a position29%
Added to a position6%

Polymarket leaderboards

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