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Stats as of

justaluckydude

0xbca08c1bc204a34f2fddbe47b438b9bd42ac9705

+$428.6K
Tracked Trades
13,125
First Seen
Aug 18, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Baseball
62% won · 3,956 settled · +$343.4K

justaluckydude is a Polymarket trader with 13,125 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7,848 wins and 5,265 losses on settled markets, $428.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ohio vs. Akron: O/U 49.5 on Nov 4.

Win rate
60%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$14.6M
Typical trade
$780.00
Avg entry
56¢
Polymarket rank
#129

Profit over time

+$507.3K-$78.7K
Aug 18Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢28316%16%+0 pts
20 to 40¢147431%33%+2 pts
40 to 60¢546451%52%+1 pts
60 to 80¢412769%70%+1 pts
Over 80¢177787%89%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $539328251%-$18.3K
$539 to $780328159%+$63.5K
$780 to $1.0K328168%+$130.4K
$1.0K to $18K328162%+$253.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball395662%+$343.4K
NFL534658%-$25.9K
College football177666%+$161.3K
NBA155555%-$86.4K
WNBA19163%+$24.5K
Hockey20573%+$12.9K

If you had copied justaluckydude

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$13,409.84
Profit
on $471,700.00 staked
2737-1980
Record
58% win rate
+3%
Return
Profit over time4717 settled trades
+$13.4K-$994.47
Aug 17Nov 2
-$7.5K
Max drawdown
67% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$211.4K won vs $198.0K lost
+1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
1313 trades

By category

other8 settled+7%
culture102 settled+6%
sports4605 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Spread: Ohio (-2.5)
Nov 4, 5 fills
Ohio75¢$296.11+$96.90
Spread: Ohio (-10.5)
Nov 4, 3 fills
Ohio50¢$506.68-$506.68
Ohio vs. Akron: O/U 49.5
Nov 4, 2 fills
Over39¢$378.62-$378.62
See every position across 3,824 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
    $53.9K on Philadelphia Phillies at 30¢, Sep 30
    +$127.1K
  2. 2
    Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies
    $20.4K on Colorado Rockies at 28¢, Sep 2
    +$53.4K
  3. 3
    Ohio State vs. Texas
    $22.3K on Texas at 37¢, Sep 13
    +$38.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves52¢6981%+$65.3K
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves45¢5862%+$128.6K
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees84¢13100%+$16.4K
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros62¢5673%+$10.5K
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals80¢1889%+$17.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$78.5K
Sep 2026+$421.6K
Oct 2026+$116.2K
Nov 2026-$30.6K

How they build positions

Opened a new position96%
Added to a position4%

Polymarket leaderboards

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