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Stats as of
justaluckydude
0xbca08c1bc204a34f2fddbe47b438b9bd42ac9705
+$428.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 13,125
- First Seen
- Aug 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 62% won · 3,956 settled · +$343.4K
justaluckydude is a Polymarket trader with 13,125 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7,848 wins and 5,265 losses on settled markets, $428.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ohio vs. Akron: O/U 49.5 on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 60%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $14.6M
- Typical trade
- $780.00
- Avg entry
- 56¢
- Polymarket rank
- #129
Profit over time
+$507.3K-$78.7K
Aug 18Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢28316%16%+0 pts
20 to 40¢147431%33%+2 pts
40 to 60¢546451%52%+1 pts
60 to 80¢412769%70%+1 pts
Over 80¢177787%89%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $539328251%-$18.3K
$539 to $780328159%+$63.5K
$780 to $1.0K328168%+$130.4K
$1.0K to $18K328162%+$253.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball395662%+$343.4K
NFL534658%-$25.9K
College football177666%+$161.3K
NBA155555%-$86.4K
WNBA19163%+$24.5K
Hockey20573%+$12.9K
If you had copied justaluckydude
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$13,409.84
Profit
on $471,700.00 staked
2737-1980
Record
58% win rate
+3%
Return
+$13.4K-$994.47
Aug 17Nov 2
-$7.5K
Max drawdown
67% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$211.4K won vs $198.0K lost
+1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 56¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 1313 trades
By category
other8 settled+7%
culture102 settled+6%
sports4605 settled+3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Spread: Ohio (-2.5)
Nov 4, 5 fills
Spread: Ohio (-10.5)
Nov 4, 3 fills
Ohio vs. Akron: O/U 49.5
Nov 4, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$127.1KPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves$53.9K on Philadelphia Phillies at 30¢, Sep 30
- 2+$53.4KBaltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies$20.4K on Colorado Rockies at 28¢, Sep 2
- 3+$38.1KOhio State vs. Texas$22.3K on Texas at 37¢, Sep 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves52¢6981%+$65.3K
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves45¢5862%+$128.6K
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees84¢13100%+$16.4K
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros62¢5673%+$10.5K
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals80¢1889%+$17.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$78.5K
Sep 2026+$421.6K
Oct 2026+$116.2K
Nov 2026-$30.6K
How they build positions
Opened a new position96%
Added to a position4%
Polymarket leaderboards
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