rivomarkets

justaluckydude

0xbca08c1bc204a34f2fddbe47b438b9bd42ac9705

+$217.7K
Tracked Trades
3,747
First Seen
Aug 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026

justaluckydude is a Polymarket trader with 3,747 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1979 wins and 1298 losses on settled markets, $217.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Spread: Indiana (-23.5) on Sep 19.

Win rate
60%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$5.8M
Typical trade
$1.0K
Copy score
59/100
Polymarket rank
#86

Profit over time

+$213.3K-$86.7K
Aug 18Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12115%20%+4 pts
20 to 40¢48331%31%-1 pts
40 to 60¢134350%52%+2 pts
60 to 80¢92470%73%+3 pts
Over 80¢66188%90%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $68788353%-$2.3K
$687 to $1.0K88361%+$61.4K
$1.0K to $2.0K88361%+$37.6K
$2.0K to $18K88366%+$110.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports330160%+$175.1K
Culture22565%+$34.4K
Politics633%-$2.6K

Side taken

Yes 0%100% No

If you had copied justaluckydude

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$11148
Profit
on $315900 staked
1901-1258
Record
60% win rate
+4%
Return
373 still open
Profit over time3159 settled trades
+$11.1K-$4.2K
Aug 17Sep 14
-$7.2K
Max drawdown
963% below peak
1.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.09×
Profit factor
$136.9K won vs $125.8K lost
+2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
25
Deepest drawdown
1063 trades

By category

culture225 settled+16%
sports2928 settled+3%
politics6 settled-15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

88 open positions worth $696.4K

The markets justaluckydude is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what justaluckydude is holding

Recent positions

Spread: Indiana (-23.5)
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 84¢
BUYINDIANA$3.7K+$709
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 52¢
BUYPHILADELPHIA PHILLIES$2.9KOpen
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 43¢
BUYTAMPA BAY RAYS$4.2KOpen
See every position across 971 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies
    $20.4K on Colorado Rockies, Sep 2
    +$53.4K
  2. 2
    Ohio State vs. Texas
    $22.3K on Texas, Sep 13
    +$38.1K
  3. 3
    Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
    $16.2K on Cincinnati Reds, Sep 5
    +$34.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees13100%+$16.4K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves3488%+$50.2K
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals1889%+$17.4K
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies3043%-$13.1K
Clemson vs. LSU26100%+$20.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$78.5K
Sep 2026+$285.5K

How they build positions

Opened a new position100%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy justaluckydude's next trade the moment it lands.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.