rivomarkets

Stats as of

operationcastle

0xd3a6e523c440f94f9259398fbcf7b5cc5ccffd55

+$374.5K
Tracked Trades
1,003
First Seen
May 16, 2025
Last Trade
Aug 26, 2026
Best In World politics
51% won · 314 settled · +$221.9K

operationcastle is a Polymarket trader with 1,003 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 345 wins and 392 losses on settled markets, $374.5K net profit on those trades.

Win rate
47%
Return on settled
+35%
Money traded
$1.8M
Typical trade
$372
Avg entry
26¢
Polymarket rank
#110

Profit over time

+$414.5K-$4.9K
May 16Aug 26

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4637%18%+11 pts
20 to 40¢17729%45%+16 pts
40 to 60¢8449%69%+20 pts
60 to 80¢9569%82%+13 pts
Over 80¢18492%95%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5825128%+$2.9K
$59 to $37225141%+$21.4K
$374 to $1.3K25148%+$56.7K
$1.3K to $75K25069%+$293.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections28155%+$195.0K
World politics43151%+$221.9K
Fed and rates3636%-$12.2K
Baseball5363%+$12.9K
Entertainment3340%-$214
MMA3237%-$2.4K

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied operationcastle

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$536
Profit
on $800 staked
2-6
Record
25% win rate
-67%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time8 settled trades
+$0-$536
Aug 3Aug 24

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 8 so far.

By category

culture8 settled-67%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $900

The markets operationcastle is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what operationcastle is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Aug 26, 2 fills
Yes10¢$1.7K-$1.7K
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Aug 26
Sold Nosold 68¢$678Exited
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Aug 26
Yes66¢$162+$83
See every position across 384 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
    $98.8K on Yes at 54¢, Jun 25
    +$85.6K
  2. 2
    Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
    $4.6K on Yes at 6¢, Jun 3
    +$72.4K
  3. 3
    Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
    $44.3K on No at 42¢, Jun 25
    +$61.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?53¢975%+$34.6K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?54¢20100%+$85.6K
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?43¢1590%+$57.6K
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?49¢3595%+$47.5K
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?25¢12100%+$40.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

May 29Aug 26

Profit by month

Aug 2025-$21.1K
Sep 2025-$9.4K
Oct 2025-$26.7K
Nov 2025-$32.0K
Dec 2025+$37.3K
Jan 2026+$13.2K
Feb 2026+$1.4K
Mar 2026-$8.9K
Apr 2026+$16.6K
May 2026+$2.9K
Jun 2026+$3.7K
Aug 2026-$9.1K

How they build positions

Closed a position100%

Polymarket leaderboards

Similar Polymarket traders

Build a bot that copies operationcastle.

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