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Stats as of

simpleman

0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c

+$41.6K
Tracked Trades
307
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
73% won · 84 settled · +$42.6K

simpleman is a Polymarket trader with 307 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 61 wins and 25 losses on settled markets, $41.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? on Oct 27.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+15%
Money traded
$1.0M
Typical trade
$2.2K
Avg entry
62¢
Polymarket rank
#718

Profit over time

+$41.6K-$53.7K
Aug 28Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢716%
20 to 40¢4628%57%+30 pts
40 to 60¢8050%53%+4 pts
60 to 80¢7969%88%+19 pts
Over 80¢9588%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $9947767%+$2.8K
$1.0K to $2.2K7765%+$2.1K
$2.2K to $4.2K7776%+$12.8K
$4.2K to $26K7677%+$23.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates27373%+$42.6K
US elections6+$0
Parlays18+$0
World politics1+$0
US politics2+$0
Other politics2+$0

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied simpleman

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$54
Profit
on $800 staked
5-3
Record
63% win rate
+7%
Return
17 still open
Profit over time8 settled trades
+$154-$33
Aug 17Oct 26

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 8 so far.

By category

finance8 settled+7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

13 open positions worth $255.5K

The markets simpleman is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what simpleman is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 27, 51 fills
Yes64¢sold 57¢$112.0K+$62.0K
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Oct 15, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 93¢$1.7KExited
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Oct 15, 5 fills
Yes20¢sold 9¢$2.0KExited
See every position across 27 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $112.0K on Yes at 64¢, Oct 27
    +$62.0K
  2. 2
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $98.9K on Yes at 73¢, Sep 16
    +$35.7K
  3. 3
    Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?
    $1.4K on No at 50¢, Sep 22
    +$1.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?64¢51100%+$62.0K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?73¢37100%+$35.7K
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?85¢41+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?51¢470%-$55.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?28¢30+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 30Oct 27

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$6.3K
Sep 2026+$36.7K
Oct 2026+$11.1K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position47%
Added to a position39%
Closed a position8%
Opened a new position6%

Polymarket leaderboards

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