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Stats as of

Polymarket

aghy

0xc3daa1bb9ce85866fb1a7c3a5d02816798e641fe

+$148.3K
Tracked Trades
195
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
54% won · 140 settled · +$148.3K

aghy is a Polymarket trader with 195 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 76 wins and 64 losses on settled markets, $148.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? on Nov 4.

Win rate
54%
Return on settled
+108%
Money traded
$204.3K
Typical trade
$300.00
Avg entry
33¢
Polymarket rank
#307

Profit over time

+$152.8K+$0.00
Aug 21Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7412%19%+7 pts
20 to 40¢7134%92%+58 pts
40 to 60¢3145%82%+37 pts
60 to 80¢973%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢1091%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $114919%+$1.37
$11 to $3004946%+$10.0K
$300 to $9104956%+$11.8K
$910 to $20K4884%+$126.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates19554%+$148.3K

Side taken

Yes 99%1% No

If you had copied aghy

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$429.96
Profit
on $700.00 staked
3-4
Record
43% win rate
+61%
Return
6 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$629.96+$0.00
Aug 17Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $54.5K

The markets aghy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what aghy is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 23, 4 fills
Yes8¢$2.7K-$2.7K
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
Oct 21, 36 fills
Yes35¢sold 24¢$26.3K+$49.0K
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
Oct 20, 3 fills
Yes42¢$5.6K-$5.6K
See every position across 12 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $83.6K on Yes at 42¢, Sep 14
    +$115.8K
  2. 2
    Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
    $26.3K on Yes at 35¢, Oct 21
    +$49.0K
  3. 3
    Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
    $1.7K on Yes at 16¢, Oct 19
    +$9.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?42¢36100%+$115.8K
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?71¢14+$0.00
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?35¢36100%+$49.0K
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?13¢550%-$15.9K
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?37¢24+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$66.0K
Sep 2026+$45.9K
Oct 2026+$36.3K

How they build positions

Added to a position74%
Closed a position11%
Trimmed a position11%
Opened a new position5%

Polymarket leaderboards

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