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Stats as of

OraculumNobius

0xd25b8718f61fb64a754356ad8cf16b5579f59f3d

+$110.71
Tracked Trades
193
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In World politics
100% won · 18 settled · +$789.45

This trader is a closer

81% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

OraculumNobius is a Polymarket trader with 193 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 147 wins and 3 losses on settled markets, $110.71 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
98%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$415.9K
Typical trade
$1.2K
Avg entry
98¢
Polymarket rank
#4,264

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$1.2K
Aug 21Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
60 to 80¢769%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢18698%98%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$136 to $93049100%+$1.2K
$940 to $1.2K4893%-$2.9K
$1.2K to $2.7K48100%+$698.12
$2.7K to $10.0K48100%+$1.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather11697%-$2.0K
World politics57100%+$789.45
US elections8100%+$854.65
Economic data6100%+$60.00
Tennis2100%+$10.02
Esports2100%+$218.86

Side taken

Yes 9%91% No

If you had copied OraculumNobius

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$0.36
Profit
on $7,700.00 staked
76-1
Record
99% win rate
+0%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time77 settled trades
+$77.52-$20.06
Aug 17Nov 2
-$100.00
Max drawdown
126% below peak
0.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.00×
Profit factor
$100.36 won vs $100.00 lost
-0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
99% won at 99¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
1 trades

By category

politics12 settled+3%
culture62 settled-1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $87.4K

The markets OraculumNobius is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what OraculumNobius is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Nov 4
Sold Nosold 91¢$1.2KExited
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Nov 4
Sold Yessold 90¢$1.8KExited
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Nov 3, 3 fills
No97¢sold 95¢$3.9K+$140.00
See every position across 85 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
    $9.3K on Yes at 93¢, Oct 23
    +$700.00
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 31?
    $1.9K on No at 75¢, Aug 31
    +$610.86
  3. 3
    NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    $5.5K on No at 92¢, Oct 21
    +$471.29
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?95¢9+$0.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?100¢6100%+$60.00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99¢4100%+$180.00
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?91¢12+$0.00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?100¢2100%+$42.98

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$636.98
Sep 2026+$742.31
Oct 2026-$1.3K
Nov 2026+$40.00

How they build positions

Opened a new position43%
Added to a position37%
Trimmed a position19%
Closed a position2%

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