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Stats as of

JohnLKellyJr

0xddc38b82423310f5bbf2e2dc58745661a624029c

+$322.3K
Tracked Trades
4,335
First Seen
Sep 1, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Esports
64% won · 3,451 settled · +$299.7K

JohnLKellyJr is a Polymarket trader with 4,335 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2,558 wins and 1,540 losses on settled markets, $322.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner on Nov 4.

Win rate
62%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$6.1M
Typical trade
$926.83
Avg entry
56¢
Polymarket rank
#163

Profit over time

+$518.7K-$4.8K
Sep 1Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5515%27%+12 pts
20 to 40¢41432%34%+2 pts
40 to 60¢172751%55%+4 pts
60 to 80¢168268%70%+2 pts
Over 80¢45786%92%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $641108459%+$9.8K
$641 to $927108463%+$52.1K
$927 to $1.5K108464%+$156.4K
$1.5K to $17K108364%+$104.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports364464%+$304.3K
Soccer59752%+$9.4K
World politics6787%+$6.9K
US elections8100%+$1.4K
Hockey425%-$2.7K
Tennis950%+$4.5K

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied JohnLKellyJr

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,661.60
Profit
on $134,800.00 staked
790-558
Record
59% win rate
+2%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time1348 settled trades
+$6.0K+$0.00
Aug 31Nov 2
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
65% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$58.5K won vs $55.8K lost
+1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 57¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
493 trades

By category

sports1314 settled+3%
politics5 settled-21%
culture26 settled-28%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $534.31

The markets JohnLKellyJr is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what JohnLKellyJr is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
Nov 4, 6 fills
Liquid78¢$8.1K+$2.2K
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Nov 4, 8 fills
Yes87¢sold 100¢$9.5K+$1.4K
Will Saudi Arabia win Group A at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
Nov 4
Sold Nosold 95¢$964.94Exited
See every position across 1,368 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B
    $31.8K on Liquid at 46¢, Oct 13
    +$37.3K
  2. 2
    Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
    $18.7K on BIG at 39¢, Oct 1
    +$29.6K
  3. 3
    Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)
    $33.5K on 100 Thieves at 53¢, Oct 2
    +$29.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?93¢34100%+$4.1K
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winner59¢41100%+$25.1K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79¢25100%+$12.5K
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)64¢16100%+$25.3K
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Leon.bet Masters Playoffs70¢10100%+$17.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$159.0K
Oct 2026+$167.1K
Nov 2026-$3.9K

How they build positions

Opened a new position65%
Closed a position19%
Added to a position9%
Trimmed a position7%

Polymarket leaderboards

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