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Stats as of
elmcap2
0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5
- Tracked Trades
- 792
- First Seen
- Jul 31, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
- Best In Fed and rates
- 100% won · 135 settled · +$287.1K
This trader is a closer
70% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.
elmcap2 is a Polymarket trader with 792 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 469 wins and 83 losses on settled markets, $325.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 85%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $9.7M
- Typical trade
- $1.8K
- Avg entry
- 94¢
- Polymarket rank
- #157
Profit over time
Win rate against the odds
Results by bet size
Categories
Side taken
If you had copied elmcap2
$100 per bet, last 90 days
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 70 trades
By category
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
37 open positions worth $1.0M
The markets elmcap2 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Biggest wins
- 1+$145.7KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$2.2M on Yes at 94¢, Oct 28
- 2+$110.0KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$1.7M on No at 94¢, Oct 28
- 3+$58.9KWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$925.5K on Yes at 94¢, Oct 31
Most traded markets
When they trade
Activity, last 90 days
Profit by month
How they build positions
Polymarket leaderboards
Similar Polymarket traders
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