Polymarketlug
0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e
+$24.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 235
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 19, 2026
lug is a Polymarket trader with 235 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 97 wins and 68 losses on settled markets, $24.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) on Sep 19.
- Win rate
- 59%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $381.4K
- Typical trade
- $1.5K
- Copy score
- 51/100
- Polymarket rank
- #560
Profit over time
+$23.7K-$20.2K
Aug 20Sep 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1114%25%+11 pts
20 to 40¢2732%31%-1 pts
40 to 60¢8249%59%+10 pts
60 to 80¢6170%71%+0 pts
Over 80¢3787%100%+13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$172 to $8175567%+$7.0K
$828 to $1.5K5553%-$2.8K
$1.6K to $2.6K5466%+$9.4K
$2.7K to $6.1K5452%+$10.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports12956%+$6.2K
Politics4675%+$3.8K
Culture2683%+$14.8K
Finance1755%-$1.1K
Side taken
Yes 15%85% No
If you had copied lug
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1559
Profit
on $15500 staked
91-64
Record
59% win rate
+10%
Return
30 still open
+$1.6K-$173
Aug 17Sep 14
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
150% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.24×
Profit factor
$8.0K won vs $6.4K lost
+5.6 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 31 trades
By category
culture12 settled+72%
politics8 settled+11%
sports124 settled+8%
finance11 settled-31%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
16 open positions worth $43.5K
The markets lug is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 47¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Sep 19, 3 fills, avg 85¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
Sep 18, 3 fills, avg 94¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$9.0KSpread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)$3.0K on Club Atlético de Madrid, Aug 29
- 2+$7.7KCounter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B$3.0K on Alliance, Sep 7
- 3+$7.0KMap Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)$6.0K on NIP, Sep 10
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
No one announced as next James Bond?6+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?1244%-$2.5K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?5100%+$1.4K
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?3+$0
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?4+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 22Sep 19
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$1.3K
Sep 2026+$22.3K
How they build positions
Opened a new position59%
Trimmed a position29%
Closed a position10%
Added to a position1%
Similar Polymarket traders
Copy lug's next trade the moment it lands.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.