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Stats as of

lug

0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e

+$40.7K
Tracked Trades
698
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Esports
58% won · 172 settled · +$44.5K

lug is a Polymarket trader with 698 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 343 wins and 229 losses on settled markets, $40.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? on Nov 4.

Win rate
60%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$1.4M
Typical trade
$1.8K
Avg entry
48¢
Polymarket rank
#841

Profit over time

+$43.8K-$19.0K
Aug 20Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1814%13%-1 pts
20 to 40¢9132%22%-10 pts
40 to 60¢27650%52%+2 pts
60 to 80¢18470%79%+9 pts
Over 80¢12988%98%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$172 to $86617563%+$1.1K
$869 to $1.8K17558%-$10.5K
$1.8K to $3.0K17460%+$51.1K
$3.0K to $15K17459%-$983.54

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports18058%+$44.5K
NFL14946%-$15.6K
US elections12183%+$17.9K
NBA5856%-$9.4K
World politics6997%+$20.4K
College football4556%-$1.8K

Side taken

Yes 37%63% No

If you had copied lug

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,087.31
Profit
on $32,700.00 staked
190-137
Record
58% win rate
+3%
Return
21 still open
Profit over time327 settled trades
+$1.1K-$376.36
Aug 17Nov 2
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
102% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$14.8K won vs $13.7K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 55¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
64 trades

By category

culture10 settled+71%
politics41 settled+8%
sports273 settled+0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

15 open positions worth $50.1K

The markets lug is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lug is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4, 7 fills
No74¢sold 71¢$6.7KExited
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Nov 4, 5 fills
Yes83¢sold 76¢$6.9K+$1.4K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 4, 14 fills
Yes68¢sold 75¢$13.3K+$6.1K
See every position across 356 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
    $6.0K on Invictus Gaming at 28¢, Oct 25
    +$15.4K
  2. 2
    LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
    $6.0K on Karmine Corp at 34¢, Oct 19
    +$11.6K
  3. 3
    NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    $27.6K on No at 72¢, Oct 23
    +$10.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92¢5100%+$3.2K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?68¢14100%+$6.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?82¢9+$0.00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?72¢22100%+$10.8K
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?79¢13100%+$4.5K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$2.9K
Sep 2026+$3.1K
Oct 2026+$20.6K
Nov 2026+$14.1K

How they build positions

Opened a new position71%
Trimmed a position21%
Closed a position5%
Added to a position3%

Polymarket leaderboards

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