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Stats as of
Polymarket4hm3d241m1e
0xed5dd19c75f2442d27e55aa16e6ac76f999cd67f
+$41.40
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Sep 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 17, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 80% won · 235 settled · +$71.34
4hm3d241m1e is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 605 wins and 171 losses on settled markets, $41.40 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET on Oct 17.
- Win rate
- 78%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $7.8K
- Typical trade
- $6.98
- Avg entry
- 22¢
- Polymarket rank
- #4,196
Profit over time
+$180.00-$22.00
Sep 7Oct 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢586%9%+3 pts
20 to 40¢2830%36%+6 pts
40 to 60¢4752%46%-6 pts
60 to 80¢27573%73%+0 pts
Over 80¢59291%92%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425054%-$39.03
$4 to $725079%+$14.20
$7 to $1025089%+$12.58
$10 to $4525086%+$53.65
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin32080%+$71.34
Ethereum28781%+$49.31
Solana11581%-$6.02
XRP7784%+$7.42
Other crypto5194%-$15.97
Esports6370%-$15.37
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied 4hm3d241m1e
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$1,255.68
Profit
on $73,100.00 staked
589-142
Record
81% win rate
-2%
Return
1 still open
+$2.5K-$1.3K
Sep 7Oct 12
-$3.8K
Max drawdown
150% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.91×
Profit factor
$12.9K won vs $14.2K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
81% won at 79¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 30
- Deepest drawdown
- 293 trades
By category
crypto680 settled-2%
sports48 settled-2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Oct 17
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Oct 16
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Oct 16
Biggest wins
- 1+$33.82Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Joint$6.80 on Maya Joint at 17¢, Sep 21
- 2+$21.04Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?$6.80 on Yes at 24¢, Sep 20
- 3+$17.38Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-20?$14.10 on Yes at 45¢, Sep 20
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Joint48¢1744%-$3.68
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20?64¢130%-$51.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET73¢1100%+$16.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET74¢10%-$42.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET80¢1100%+$9.92
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 20Oct 17
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$80.92
Oct 2026-$39.52
Polymarket leaderboards
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