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Stats as of

Randomfool

0xf036f9631ae2fc83821b3a8581892109d506b8f1

+$41.9K
Tracked Trades
183
First Seen
Feb 26, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
98% won · 45 settled · +$30.6K

This trader is a closer

63% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

Randomfool is a Polymarket trader with 183 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 151 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, $41.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? on Nov 3.

Win rate
96%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$761.5K
Typical trade
$1.4K
Avg entry
92¢
Polymarket rank
#711

Profit over time

+$41.9K+$0.00
Feb 26Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢21%0%-1 pts
60 to 80¢1176%71%-4 pts
Over 80¢17094%97%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$5 to $5864698%+$369.87
$607 to $1.4K4692%+$659.15
$1.4K to $4.9K4692%-$2.4K
$5.1K to $21K45100%+$43.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates4998%+$30.6K
World politics6391%+$5.7K
US elections11100%+$7.5K
Entertainment38100%+$580.11
Tennis1687%-$2.8K
Soccer3100%+$250.05

Side taken

Yes 81%19% No

If you had copied Randomfool

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$36.87
Profit
on $2,100.00 staked
19-2
Record
90% win rate
+2%
Return
Profit over time21 settled trades
+$36.87-$57.49
Aug 17Nov 2
-$100.00
Max drawdown
346% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$236.87 won vs $200.00 lost
+1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
90% won at 89¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
1 trades

By category

politics13 settled+2%
sports5 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?
Nov 3
Sold Yessold 100¢$4.9KExited
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 2
Yes74¢$6.5K+$2.3K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nov 2
Yes79¢$7.9K+$2.1K
See every position across 69 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
    $104.9K on Yes at 85¢, Jul 29
    +$18.3K
  2. 2
    Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
    $65.1K on Yes at 89¢, Oct 4
    +$8.3K
  3. 3
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $89.2K on Yes at 94¢, Oct 28
    +$5.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?85¢12100%+$18.3K
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?89¢26100%+$8.3K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?94¢8100%+$5.4K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?97¢783%+$504.17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢4100%+$4.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$34.34
Mar 2026+$207.94
Apr 2026+$732.07
May 2026+$706.57
Jun 2026+$1.4K
Jul 2026+$18.8K
Aug 2026+$228.84
Sep 2026+$1.6K
Oct 2026+$13.5K
Nov 2026+$4.6K

How they build positions

Added to a position36%
Trimmed a position34%
Opened a new position30%

Polymarket leaderboards

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