rivomarkets

Stats as of

bondsman

0xdef6f7b147246e2bab5422c7363cdebbfd54f69a

+$12.8K
Tracked Trades
152
First Seen
Apr 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In World politics
97% won · 33 settled · +$24.1K

bondsman is a Polymarket trader with 152 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 32 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, $12.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? on Oct 9.

Win rate
82%
Return on settled
+16%
Money traded
$770.1K
Typical trade
$602
Avg entry
35¢
Polymarket rank
#1,164

Profit over time

+$12.8K-$12.1K
Aug 25Oct 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢660%0%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1535%0%-35 pts
40 to 60¢547%
60 to 80¢3571%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢3193%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $138+$0
$1 to $5983850%+$159
$605 to $2.6K3890%+$9.2K
$2.7K to $179K3879%+$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics6097%+$24.1K
Weather7+$0
Esports4+$0
US elections130%-$11.4K
Bitcoin3+$0
Soccer63+$0

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied bondsman

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$472
Profit
on $3900 staked
32-7
Record
82% win rate
+12%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time39 settled trades
+$472-$600
Jul 20Oct 5
-$700
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.67×
Profit factor
$1.2K won vs $700 lost
+16.2 pts
Edge vs implied
82% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
7 trades

By category

politics39 settled+12%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $34.9K

The markets bondsman is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bondsman is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Oct 9, 32 fills
No73¢$69.0K+$24.9K
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Oct 9, 15 fills
Yes5¢sold 45¢$756-$756
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Aug 25, 4 fills
Yes35¢sold 37¢$9.7K-$9.7K
See every position across 17 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
    $69.0K on No at 73¢, Oct 9
    +$24.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?100¢2+$0
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?100¢2+$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?92¢7+$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?64¢4797%+$24.1K
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?95¢4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$11.4K
Oct 2026+$24.1K

How they build positions

Added to a position44%
Trimmed a position44%
Closed a position6%
Opened a new position6%

Similar Polymarket traders

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