rivomarkets

Our take: Polymarket is the easiest venue to copy trade well, because every trade on polymarket.com names the wallet behind it. You do not have to trust a screenshot or a claimed win rate. You read the wallet's whole record, test it at your own stake, and copy only the traders whose numbers hold up. Rivo gives you the four things a copy trader needs on Polymarket: the research, the alert, the paper record and one order ticket. You keep custody and you place the trade.

What is Polymarket copy trading?

Copy trading means taking the same side of the same market as a trader you chose, as close to their price as you can get. On Polymarket the trader is a wallet. When that wallet buys Yes at 41 cents on a market, you buy Yes on the same market. If the wallet is right more often than the price implies, so are you.

  • The unit is a position. You copy the opening buy. Adds and trims are the trader managing size, and you decide whether to follow those.
  • The edge is the trader's. You are borrowing research someone else paid for with their own money.
  • The price is yours. Your result comes from the price you fill at, which is why entry price gets its own section below.

Why does copy trading work on Polymarket?

Polymarket trades settle on a public blockchain. Every fill carries a wallet address, a market, a side, a price and a size. That makes three things true on Polymarket that are true almost nowhere else:

  1. Every record is complete. A wallet cannot hide its losing trades. Rivo scores each trade when its market settles and books the profit at the price the wallet paid.
  2. Every record is checkable. Nothing is self-reported. The profit on a Rivo profile comes from trades Rivo recorded and outcomes the market settled on.
  3. Every new trade is visible. When a wallet you follow opens a position, the trade is public the moment it prints. Rivo reads it and alerts you.

There is also no passive money in a prediction market. Nobody holds a 30 cent contract on a rate decision as an index allocation. A large position is a decision, made by someone who expects to be right.

Which Polymarket wallets are worth copying right now?

These are the 10 most profitable Polymarket wallets on Rivo's record, ranked by profit from settled trades. Rivo computes every figure from the trades it recorded and the way each market settled. Open a name for the full record and the copy simulator.

TraderProfitWin rateSettled tradesTrades on record
sparklingwater123$7.5M91%75156
DEEDDIT$7.4M100%84382
GRIMDRIP$7.3M100%91184
vito3corleone$6.6M47%340340
endlessFate$6.5M57%95233
frostrizz$6.1M98%85177
fishalive$6.1M100%3271
mintblade$5.2M100%98264
00gringo00$5.1M81%671767
Len9311238$4.5M100%100294

Updated

The top of this list is where most people stop, and it is the wrong place to stop. The biggest wallets bet sizes that move the price, so a copy fills after the move. Use the table as a starting list, then sort the full Polymarket leaderboard by return to find wallets whose results scale down to your account.

How do you pick a Polymarket wallet to copy?

Picking the wallet is the whole game. A bad pick copied perfectly loses money. Read five things on every profile, in this order.

  1. Settled profit. Profit from markets that have settled, won or lost. Open positions do not count. We want at least 50 settled trades before a record means anything, and we throw out any wallet where one market paid most of the total.
  2. Win rate against the odds paid. Win rate alone tells you nothing. A wallet winning 70% of its bets at 85 cents loses money. A wallet winning 35% at 20 cents makes money. Each profile shows how often the wallet won in every price band next to the price it paid.
  3. Results by bet size. Some wallets win small and lose big. You want a wallet whose largest bets are its winners, because those are the trades you will be alerted to first.
  4. Category record. A wallet up six figures in NBA markets and down in politics is an NBA trader. Copy the wallet where it wins and filter out the rest.
  5. Recency. A record from last year does not trade for you this week. Check the 90 day activity chart and the monthly profit, and compare the 7 day and 90 day simulator windows.

Three places to start:

  • The Polymarket leaderboard ranks every tracked wallet by profit, win rate, return or money traded, with boards for today, this week, this month and all time.
  • The Polymarket wallet tracker opens any address you already have in mind.
  • Top traders puts Polymarket wallets next to Kalshi traders in one table.

Our habit: sort by return, open the top 20, drop anyone with fewer than 50 settled trades or a profit curve built on one market, and put the survivors on paper.

How a Rivo copy bot works

  1. 1You pick who or what the bot trades

    Copy a trader you select or build your own signal. Choose the venue and category. Set the trade size and entry price range. Narrow the signal with keywords or specific markets.

  2. 2Test the idea at your size

    Set a fixed stake or a percentage of the source trade with a dollar cap. Review historical paper returns and the trades behind them. Signal backtests include a holdout period to help you assess the result.

  3. 3Watch the bot work on paper

    Run your bot against new matching activity with virtual money. Follow its profit curve and open positions. Inspect each settled result from the bot dashboard.

  4. 4Put your account and limits in control

    Choose live execution on a supported venue when you are ready. Connect your account and set your spending limits. Rivo checks each entry and logs the outcome. You can pause the bot from its detail view.

Build a bot

How Rivo copy trades Polymarket step by step

The same five steps every time. Each one answers a question you should settle before the next one costs you anything.

  1. Rank and research wallets. Start on the leaderboard, open a profile, and read the profit curve, the win rate by price band, the results by bet size, the categories and the biggest wins. In the terminal the same profile shows the wallet's open positions live and what each one trades at now.
  2. Test the trader at your stake. The simulator on every profile replays copying the wallet at $25, $100 or $250 a trade over 7, 30 or 90 days, at the prices the wallet paid. In the bot builder the backtest runs at any stake you type. You see the trades behind the number, not only the total.
  3. Follow the wallet for alerts. One click on Follow. Every new position reaches you in the app, as a notification on your phone or computer, and on Telegram once you link it. Filters keep the alerts worth reading: new positions only, a maximum entry price, a minimum trade size, the categories or kinds of market you want, and a cap on alerts per day for that trader. Every follow starts on new positions at 85 cents or less.
  4. Run a paper copy bot. Turn on paper copying and the bot records every buy the trader makes, at the trader's own price, at your sizing. Each position is marked at the current price and scored when its market settles. After two weeks you have a record of what copying this wallet at your stake made. No account is needed and no money moves.
  5. Place the copy yourself from the alert. The alert opens the market in the terminal with the trader attached. One order ticket shows the average fill, the limit sent, the fee, the total and the payout before you send. The order signs in your own browser-connected wallet. Rivo never holds the funds.

That is the Polymarket workflow: Rivo does the watching, the scoring and the record keeping, and you make the final call on every real order with the full context in front of you. Traders who want orders placed for them unattended run live bots on Kalshi through their own API key. The Kalshi copy trading bot page covers that setup.

What does a Polymarket copy alert contain?

An alert has to carry enough to act on without opening three other tabs. This is what arrives.

FieldWhat it tells youWhy it matters
TraderThe wallet you follow, by name or addressYou know whose trade this is at a glance
ActionNew position or an add to an existing oneAn opening buy is a fresh view. An add is the trader pressing a view you may already hold
MarketThe market and the outcome boughtNo hunting for the right contract
Side and priceYes or No and the price the trader paidThe price is your reference. Your fill should sit close to it
AmountThe dollars the trader put inSize against the trader's usual bet shows conviction
Record in this kind of marketFor example: 75% win rate in NFL over 173 settled tradesA trader's NFL record is the one that counts on an NFL trade
LinkOpens the market in the terminal with the trader attachedOne tap from the alert to the order ticket

The same alerts land in the Alerts inbox, read like a trade list with side, price, action, market and amount. The alerts page walks through every setting.

How should you size a copy trade?

Two ways to size, and they suit different traders. Rivo offers both in the same editor, for paper and for live.

  • Fixed stake. Every copy is the same dollar amount: $25, $100, $250 or any amount you type. Your results track the trader's hit rate and prices, and no single trade can hurt you more than another.
  • Percentage of the source trade with a dollar cap. Each copy is a share of what the trader bet, up to a maximum you set. Your results track the trader's conviction: you bet more when they bet more.
Trader's betFixed $1001% of the trade capped at $150
$500$100$5
$2,000$100$20
$8,000$100$80
$20,000$100$150
$60,000$100$150

Our rules for choosing:

  • Start fixed. A fixed stake makes the paper record easy to read. Profit divided by stake is your return per trade.
  • Move to a percentage only when the profile shows the wallet's bigger bets win more. The results by bet size section answers that in one look.
  • Always set the cap. One outsized trade from the wallet should never become one outsized trade in your account.
  • Check the real size first. The builder shows how many trades a week the wallet makes and its middle trade size, so a percentage is priced against what the wallet does.
  • Size for the losing streak. A trader winning 55% of coin-flip bets loses six in a row a few times a year. Pick a stake where that streak is boring.

Why does entry price decide whether a copy makes money?

A copy is only as good as the price you get. The trader's edge is the gap between how often they win and the price they paid. Every cent you pay above their price comes straight out of that gap.

Take a wallet that wins 48% of the positions it opens at 40 cents. Here is what a $100 copy earns on average at each fill price.

Your fill priceShares for $100Average payoutAverage profit per $100
40 cents, the trader's price250$120.00$20.00
42 cents238$114.29$14.29
44 cents227$109.09$9.09
46 cents217$104.35$4.35
48 cents208$100.00$0.00
50 cents200$96.00Loss of $4.00

Six cents of slippage turns a $20 edge into $4. Ten cents turns it into a loss. The trade was right and the copy still lost. So:

  • Set a maximum entry price on the follow. Alerts above your ceiling never reach you.
  • Read the ticket before you send. The order ticket walks the live book and shows your average fill. Compare it with the trader's price in the alert.
  • Use a limit order when the book is thin. Rest your bid at the trader's price and let the market come back to you. Some will not fill. Those are the trades you were right to miss.
  • Skip the chase. A market that has run eight points since the trader bought is a different trade.
  • Stay out of near-certain prices. Above 85 cents the payout is too small to carry one wrong outcome.

One note on reading the paper record: a paper bot books each buy at the trader's price, so it shows what the trader made at your sizing. Your real fills land a little off that price. Use the paper record to choose the trader, and the ticket to protect the entry.

Three ways to copy a trader

Pick by how much of the work you want to keep.

CompareBy hand from alertsPaper copy botLive copy bot on Kalshi
Where it runsPolymarket and KalshiPolymarket and KalshiKalshi
Who places the orderYou, from one order ticketNobody. No money movesThe bot, through your own Kalshi API key
Price you getThe live book when you actThe trader's own priceThe live book inside your price band
Account neededYour own venue account or walletNoneA connected Kalshi API key
LimitsYou decide each tradeYour sizingPer trade, per day and an optional loss limit
Best forPolymarket wallets and trades you want to judge one at a timeProving a trader at your stake before real moneyFast markets where you cannot watch every alert

Most traders run all three. Paper bots on a shortlist of wallets, alerts on the two or three that earn it, and a live bot on Kalshi for the trader whose record holds up. The Polymarket copy trading bots comparison sets Rivo beside other tools on custody, records, paper mode and fees.

What mistakes do copy traders make?

  • Copying the biggest wallet. Profit ranks bankrolls. Return ranks skill you can follow at $100 a trade.
  • Copying everything a wallet does. Use the category filter. A wallet's best kind of market shows on its profile as Best at.
  • Copying adds as if they were new ideas. New positions only is the default for a reason.
  • Judging on five trades. Two weeks on paper and 20 settled copies is the least we accept.
  • Following too many wallets. Ten alerts an hour is noise. Three wallets you know well beat thirty you do not.
  • Ignoring a quiet wallet. A bot that has matched nothing for three days sends you one message naming the trader who stopped trading. Replace them.

The longer walkthrough, with worked examples, is in how to copy trade Polymarket whales. The broader framework across venues is in the copy trading guide.

What does Rivo cost?

$9 a week or $15 a month. Both plans include the whole terminal: every wallet record, the leaderboards, follows and alerts, paper bots, the order ticket, the portfolio, the REST API and the MCP server. Rivo charges nothing per trade and takes no share of a win. Venue fees go to the venue, and the Polymarket fees guide lists them.

Frequently asked questions

What is Polymarket copy trading?

You pick a Polymarket wallet with a winning record and take the same side of the same market when the wallet opens a position. Every trade on polymarket.com names a wallet, so you can read a trader's whole record before you copy a single trade.

How do I copy trade on Polymarket?

Rank the wallets by settled profit, open a profile, and run the simulator at your stake. Follow the wallet for an alert on every new position, run a copy bot on paper to build a record at your sizing, then place the copy from the alert with the order ticket and your own wallet.

Is there a Polymarket copy trading bot?

Yes. A Rivo copy bot on Polymarket watches the wallet you chose, alerts you on each new position and records every buy on paper at the trader's price and your sizing. You place the real order yourself from the alert. Live bots that place orders unattended run on Kalshi through your own API key.

Does Rivo place Polymarket trades for me?

On polymarket.com you place the trade. Rivo sends the alert, opens the market with the trader attached, and gives you one order ticket that signs in your browser wallet. Unattended live copying on polymarket.com is coming soon. It runs on Kalshi now.

Does Rivo hold my money or my private key?

No. Rivo is not an exchange and holds no funds. A paper bot needs no account at all. A Polymarket order signs in your own browser wallet, and Rivo never asks for a private key.

Which Polymarket wallet should I copy?

A wallet with at least 50 settled trades, profit spread over many markets, a win rate above the average price paid, bet sizes close to yours and trades in the last week. Copy the wallet in the kind of market where its record is strongest.

How much money do I need to copy trade Polymarket?

Paper copying needs none. For real orders, pick a stake where 20 straight losses leave your account standing. The bot presets are $25, $100 and $250 a trade, and you can type any amount.

What does a copy alert tell me?

The trader, the market, the side, the price paid, the size of the trade, whether the trade opens a new position or adds to one, and the trader's record in that kind of market. One tap opens the market in the terminal with the order ticket.

Can I copy trade Polymarket from the US?

Research, alerts and paper bots work for every subscriber. Orders on polymarket.com follow Polymarket's own access rules, and polymarket.com does not accept new positions from the US. US traders place trades on Kalshi and Polymarket US, and live copy bots run on Kalshi.

How much does Polymarket copy trading cost on Rivo?

$9 a week or $15 a month for the whole terminal: wallet records, alerts, paper bots, the order ticket, the API and the MCP server. Rivo charges no fee per trade and takes no cut of a win. Venue fees go to the venue.

Copy a Polymarket wallet on paper first

Pick a wallet, set your stake and let the bot record every buy at the trader's price. $9 a week or $15 a month. Trading involves risk of loss.

Build a copy bot