rivomarkets

aaronake

-$521
Tracked Trades
621
First Seen
Mar 26, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Followers
4
Best In NFL
64% won · 25 settled · +$1.6K

aaronake is a Kalshi trader with 621 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 67 wins and 136 losses on settled markets, -$521 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: France wins on Sep 28.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
-5%
Money traded
$47.8K
Typical trade
$20
Copy score
28/100
Kalshi rank
#4,029

Profit over time

+$145-$3.4K
Mar 26Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1268%6%-3 pts
20 to 40¢17230%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢18349%38%-11 pts
60 to 80¢6266%64%-2 pts
Over 80¢7891%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $615628%-$24
$6 to $2015529%-$219
$20 to $5715533%-$425
$57 to $3.5K15540%+$148

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NBA12132%-$434
Soccer10736%-$634
Parlays210%-$479
NFL6064%+$1.6K
Baseball7438%-$539
Tennis11629%+$215

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied aaronake

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$906
Profit
on $10000 staked
37-63
Record
37% win rate
+9%
Return
14 still open
Profit over time100 settled trades
+$906-$870
Jun 29Sep 28
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
1321% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.14×
Profit factor
$7.2K won vs $6.3K lost
+1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 35¢ avg
Longest losing streak
22
Deepest drawdown
50 trades

By category

other99 settled+10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $777

The markets aaronake is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what aaronake is holding

Recent positions

France wins
Sep 28, 6 fills, avg 48¢
BUYYES$83+$88
KXNFLLASTTOLOSE-27-LV
Sep 28, avg 94¢
SELLNO$1.4KOpen
Yannick Hanfmann wins
Sep 28, 6 fills, avg 49¢
BUYYES$279-$279
See every position across 199 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Las Vegas wins
    $553 on Yes, Sep 27
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    Iowa wins
    $94 on Yes, Sep 26
    +$847
  3. 3
    Minnesota at Philadelphia Winner?
    $467 on Yes, Apr 4
    +$762
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Minnesota at Philadelphia Winner?943%+$163
yes Abejas de Leon,yes El Calor de Cancun,yes HOU Texans,yes LA Chargers,yes Over 39.5 points scored,yes Atlanta1+$0
Los Angeles C wins by over 17.5 Points?14+$0
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored1+$0
Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins?30%-$669

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$261
Apr 2026-$1.2K
May 2026-$110
Jun 2026-$14
Jul 2026-$654
Aug 2026-$53
Sep 2026+$1.8K

Similar Kalshi traders

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