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Stats as of

AD123

ad123

+$293
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jul 21, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In Mentions
100% won · 14 settled · +$197

AD123 is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 227 wins and 218 losses on settled markets, $293 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Joel Dahmen wins on Oct 21.

Win rate
51%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$23.0K
Typical trade
$3
Avg entry
63¢
Kalshi rank
#4,620

Profit over time

+$309+$0
Jul 21Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3915%4%-1 pts
20 to 40¢10029%46%+17 pts
40 to 60¢7349%66%+17 pts
60 to 80¢7570%71%+1 pts
Over 80¢36194%98%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125011%-$11
$1 to $325032%-$33
$3 to $1025068%+$110
$10 to $76425096%+$227

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US politics31163%+$62
Baseball7378%+$62
Golf24229%-$39
US elections4981%+$6
MMA8045%+$1
College football7257%+$21

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied AD123

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$13086
Profit
on $40400 staked
208-196
Record
51% win rate
+32%
Return
198 still open
Profit over time404 settled trades
+$17.9K-$1.5K
Jul 20Oct 19
-$5.5K
Max drawdown
30% below peak
2.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.67×
Profit factor
$32.7K won vs $19.6K lost
+3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
181 trades

By category

culture14 settled+272%
politics150 settled+37%
sports236 settled+16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

68 open positions worth $7.1K

The markets AD123 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what AD123 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Who will hold the UFC Flyweight Title title on Dec 31, 2026?
Oct 21, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 43¢$22Exited
Joaquin Niemann to compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027)?
Oct 21
Sold Yessold 50¢$5Exited
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Oct 21
Sold Nosold 29¢$90Exited
See every position across 384 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Trump say "Golf / Golfer / Golfing" before Aug 10, 2026?
    $80 on Yes at 29¢, Aug 7
    +$191
  2. 2
    Will Aaron Judge record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?
    $958 on No at 96¢, Sep 8
    +$42
  3. 3
    Will Wyndham Clark win the BMW Championship?
    $1 on Yes at 3¢, Aug 17
    +$32
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Jac Caglianone record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?82¢1464%+$11
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?78¢40+$0
Who will be the Welterweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?97¢13+$0
Will Elon Musk visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?99¢15100%+$3
Will Aaron Judge record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?96¢6100%+$42

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$44
Aug 2026+$163
Sep 2026+$59
Oct 2026+$27

Kalshi leaderboards

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