ajfromthebay
+$1.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 336
- First Seen
- Oct 22, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 1
ajfromthebay is a Kalshi trader with 336 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 94 wins and 103 losses on settled markets, $1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 48%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $31.6K
- Typical trade
- $62
- Copy score
- 41/100
- Kalshi rank
- #2,337
Profit over time
+$5.3K-$19
Oct 22Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢68%
20 to 40¢4734%37%+3 pts
40 to 60¢7346%57%+11 pts
60 to 80¢867%100%+34 pts
Over 80¢1594%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $113865%+$129
$11 to $623747%-$161
$77 to $3713750%+$423
$380 to $1.2K3764%+$1.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities14155%+$525
NBA550%-$15
NFL1100%+$1.3K
Basketball2+$0
Side taken
Yes 39%61% No
If you had copied ajfromthebay
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2086
Profit
on $10300 staked
57-46
Record
55% win rate
+20%
Return
4 still open
+$2.1K+$0
Jul 20Sep 28
-$4.3K
Max drawdown
79% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.45×
Profit factor
$6.7K won vs $4.6K lost
+8.3 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 43
- Deepest drawdown
- 43 trades
By category
other97 settled+19%
culture5 settled+6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
4 open positions worth $2.0K
The markets ajfromthebay is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 29, avg 53¢
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 29, avg 53¢
KXNBA-27-PHI
Sep 29, avg 91¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6KGold price up in next 15 mins?$690 on No, Sep 28
- 2+$1.5KGold price up in next 15 mins?$1.2K on No, Sep 28
- 3+$1.3KKXGOLD15M-26SEP280515-15$3.3K on No, Sep 28
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?13556%+$1.5K
KXGOLD15M-26SEP281545-452+$0
KXNBA-27-PHI1+$0
KXGOLD15M-26SEP280530-301+$0
KXGOLD15M-26SEP281600-0010%-$798
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Oct 2025-$19
Apr 2026+$3
Sep 2026+$1.8K
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies ajfromthebay.
Bring ajfromthebay into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.