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Stats as of

bond.steak

-$921
Tracked Trades
872
First Seen
Mar 20, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 18, 2026
Best In Parlays
16% won · 116 settled · +$6.3K

bond.steak is a Kalshi trader with 872 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 104 wins and 700 losses on settled markets, -$921 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Notre Dame wins on Oct 18.

Win rate
13%
Return on settled
-4%
Money traded
$30.4K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
10¢
Kalshi rank
#5,394

Profit over time

+$455-$7.0K
Mar 20Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6009%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢17028%18%-9 pts
40 to 60¢7449%51%+2 pts
60 to 80¢1466%58%-8 pts
Over 80¢1492%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $72184%-$479
$7 to $192188%-$1.3K
$19 to $3821813%+$2.2K
$38 to $2.9K21827%-$1.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer48410%-$5.7K
Parlays12216%+$6.3K
Baseball11814%-$610
NBA6719%-$633
Basketball120%-$297
MMA1429%+$101

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied bond.steak

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$18057
Profit
on $6700 staked
12-55
Record
18% win rate
+270%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time67 settled trades
+$18.1K-$300
Aug 3Oct 12
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
128% below peak
7.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.28×
Profit factor
$23.6K won vs $5.5K lost
+4.5 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 13¢ avg
Longest losing streak
25
Deepest drawdown
25 trades

By category

sports67 settled+270%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $51

The markets bond.steak is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bond.steak is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Notre Dame wins
Oct 18
Yes31¢$79-$79
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A65QCXF3SLLCNYJE-O5F2Z4D7O
Oct 18
Sold Nosold 81¢$2.9KExited
North Carolina wins
Oct 17
Sold Nosold 1¢$1Exited
See every position across 543 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Florida,yes Kentucky,yes BYU,yes North Dakota St.,yes Ohio St.
    $23 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 17
    +$3.6K
  2. 2
    yes Cincinnati,yes Las Vegas,yes Philadelphia,yes Dallas,yes Los Angeles R
    $61 on Yes at 5¢, Sep 20
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    yes Chelsea,yes Over 5.5 goals scored
    $61 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 10
    +$938
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A65QCXF3SLLCNYJE-O5F2Z4D7O1+$0
Will both teams score?46¢1633%-$546
Will the Minnesota win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship?3¢40%-$63
Turkiye vs USA Winner?18¢533%-$263
Munetaka Murakami: 1+ home runs?16¢50%-$484

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 21Oct 18

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$696
Apr 2026+$884
May 2026-$1.8K
Jun 2026-$2.1K
Jul 2026-$3.2K
Aug 2026-$52
Sep 2026+$867
Oct 2026+$5.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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