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Stats as of

ChaoticRain

chaoticrain

+$211.80
Tracked Trades
149
First Seen
Jan 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 18, 2026
Best In College football
58% won ยท 24 settled ยท +$1.3K

ChaoticRain is a Kalshi trader with 149 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 45 wins and 80 losses on settled markets, $211.80 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 18.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$4.7K
Typical trade
$4.69
Avg entry
42ยข
Kalshi rank
#4,612

Profit over time

+$1.3K-$59.00
Jan 25Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข459%15%+6 pts
20 to 40ยข3828%21%-7 pts
40 to 60ยข3449%50%+1 pts
60 to 80ยข2169%76%+8 pts
Over 80ยข1192%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $23814%-$9.96
$2 to $53732%+$67.29
$5 to $103743%+$101.46
$10 to $1.4K3763%+$53.01

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College football3258%+$1.3K
Bitcoin1427%-$942.96
Hockey2930%-$34.79
MMA2736%+$4.90
NFL1560%-$15.12
Commodities140%-$43.86

Side taken

Yes 74%26% No

If you had copied ChaoticRain

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,387.72
Profit
on $2,300.00 staked
4-19
Record
17% win rate
+60%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time23 settled trades
+$1.4K+$0.00
Sep 7Oct 12
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
102% below peak
1.0ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.73ร—
Profit factor
$3.3K won vs $1.9K lost
-10.5 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 28ยข avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

sports11 settled+95%
crypto8 settled+92%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $4.72

The markets ChaoticRain is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ChaoticRain is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
Yes69ยข$1.1K-$1.1K
Florida wins
Oct 17, 7 fills
Yes60ยข$1.9K+$1.2K
Texas wins
Oct 17
Sold Nosold 79ยข$170.25Exited
See every position across 78 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Florida wins
    $445.98 on Yes at 36ยข, Oct 17
    +$785.06
  2. 2
    Florida wins
    $1.4K on Yes at 76ยข, Oct 17
    +$456.54
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $8.95 on No at 6ยข, Sep 12
    +$133.87
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Florida wins60ยข9100%+$1.2K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?43ยข1327%-$942.96
Texas wins22ยข20%-$47.41
Oklahoma St. wins40ยข9100%+$126.54
Oregon wins32ยข40%-$33.50

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 21Oct 18

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$1.61
Feb 2026-$33.90
Apr 2026-$19.51
Jun 2026+$14.14
Jul 2026-$12.82
Sep 2026+$121.72
Oct 2026+$140.56

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