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Stats as of
charming.kestrel5190
+$16.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 544
- First Seen
- Jul 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 2, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 57% won · 68 settled · +$15.3K
charming.kestrel5190 is a Kalshi trader with 544 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 191 wins and 292 losses on settled markets, $16.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026OULP6NTVEYQJQMYT-ZSIY5WJBW on Nov 2.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- +30%
- Money traded
- $83.0K
- Typical trade
- $9.63
- Avg entry
- 41¢
- Kalshi rank
- #420
Profit over time
+$23.9K-$96.00
Jul 12Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12310%11%+1 pts
20 to 40¢12330%25%-4 pts
40 to 60¢20352%59%+7 pts
60 to 80¢5865%60%-5 pts
Over 80¢3792%80%-12 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $513629%+$68.88
$5 to $1013632%-$148.05
$10 to $3313647%-$324.94
$34 to $4.9K13653%+$16.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays27926%-$1.4K
Baseball8357%+$15.3K
NFL5842%-$53.72
Tennis783%+$1.7K
Soccer4959%+$131.80
College football2068%+$509.63
Side taken
Yes 81%19% No
If you had copied charming.kestrel5190
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$2,544.30
Profit
on $41,000.00 staked
161-249
Record
39% win rate
+6%
Return
+$4.5K-$375.43
Aug 10Oct 26
-$4.2K
Max drawdown
86% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.10×
Profit factor
$27.4K won vs $24.9K lost
+1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 38¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 13
- Deepest drawdown
- 186 trades
By category
sports409 settled+6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026OULP6NTVEYQJQMYT-ZSIY5WJBW
Nov 2
yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Kyren Williams: 1+
Nov 1, 2 fills
Jameson Williams: 1+ touchdowns
Nov 1, 10 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.5KLos Angeles D wins$4.8K on Yes at 58¢, Oct 6
- 2+$3.1KDetroit vs Kansas City First Inning Run?$3.6K on No at 54¢, Aug 21
- 3+$2.4KBoston vs Toronto First Inning Run?$3.7K on No at 60¢, Aug 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
1st inning: Over 0.5 runs54¢1653%+$3.3K
Los Angeles D wins58¢750%+$3.4K
Kenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdowns56¢10%-$4.9K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AH57WVSBKHETJ5AN-4R4OWF74I22¢20%-$798.29
Boston vs Toronto First Inning Run?60¢2100%+$2.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 5Nov 2
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$3.6K
Aug 2026+$9.2K
Sep 2026+$5.4K
Oct 2026-$1.9K
Nov 2026-$237.70
Kalshi leaderboards
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