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Stats as of
shivering.bat8606
+$242
- Tracked Trades
- 1,001
- First Seen
- Aug 31, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 25% won · 359 settled · +$103
shivering.bat8606 is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 120 wins and 736 losses on settled markets, $242 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Matthew Dellavedova,yes Yuka Matsumoto,yes Jannat Chiripal,yes Annika Penickova,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arkansas St.,yes South Florida,yes Louisville,yes Louisiana Tech,yes TCU,yes Tarleton St.,yes Northern Colorado,yes Stanford,yes Mercer,yes Montana St.,yes BYU,yes North Dakota St.,yes Northern Arizona,yes San Jose St.,yes UC Davis,yes Incarnate Word,yes Los Angeles,yes Nashville on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 14%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $51.4K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,266
Profit over time
+$336-$1.2K
Oct 4Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6536%6%+0 pts
20 to 40¢21429%32%+3 pts
40 to 60¢3345%60%+15 pts
60 to 80¢773%
Over 80¢9498%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $525113%-$243
$5 to $925014%+$374
$9 to $92504%-$780
$9 to $12K25032%+$891
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays5736%-$181
Bitcoin41725%+$103
Baseball333%+$369
NFL10%-$48
College football50%-$17
Ethereum2100%+$17
Side taken
Yes 69%31% No
If you had copied shivering.bat8606
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$10622
Profit
on $85600 staked
120-736
Record
14% win rate
-12%
Return
+$142-$10.6K
Sep 28Oct 12
-$27.0K
Max drawdown
4206% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$63.0K won vs $73.6K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 13¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 60
- Deepest drawdown
- 791 trades
By category
crypto360 settled-10%
sports496 settled-14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Matthew Dellavedova,yes Yuka Matsumoto,yes Jannat Chiripal,yes Annika Penickova,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arkansas St.,yes South Florida,yes Louisville,yes Louisiana Tech,yes TCU,yes Tarleton St.,yes Northern Colorado,yes Stanford,yes Mercer,yes Montana St.,yes BYU,yes North Dakota St.,yes Northern Arizona,yes San Jose St.,yes UC Davis,yes Incarnate Word,yes Los Angeles,yes Nashville
Oct 18
yes Yuka Matsumoto,yes Jannat Chiripal,yes Annika Penickova,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arkansas,yes Arkansas St.,yes South Florida,yes Louisville,yes Louisiana Tech,yes Houston,yes TCU,yes Oklahoma,yes Wisconsin,yes Abilene Christian,yes Tarleton St.,yes Stanford,yes Florida St.,yes Mercer,yes Montana St.,yes BYU,yes North Dakota St.,yes Northern Arizona,yes San Jose St.,yes UC Davis,yes Incarnate Word,yes Los Angeles,yes Nashville
Oct 18
yes Tampa Bay,yes Arkansas,yes Arkansas St.,yes South Florida,yes Louisville,yes Louisiana Tech,yes Houston,yes TCU,yes Oklahoma,yes Abilene Christian,yes Tarleton St.,yes Northern Colorado,yes Stanford,yes Mercer,yes Montana St.,yes BYU,yes North Dakota St.,yes Northern Arizona,yes San Jose St.,yes UC Davis,yes Incarnate Word,yes Los Angeles,yes Columbus,yes Philadelphia,yes San Jose,yes Nashville
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5Kyes Arutiunian / Pieczkowski,yes Alastair Gray,yes Herrero Linana / Zamarripa,yes Connie Ma,yes Tampa Bay,yes Texas Tech,yes Illinois St.,yes Tulsa,yes Louisiana,yes Tennessee,yes Tarleton St.,yes Alabama A&M,yes Southeastern Louisiana,yes Mercer,yes Montana St.,yes Northern Arizona,yes Michigan,yes South Dakota,yes Stephen F. Austin,yes Toledo,yes North Carolina,yes Youngstown St.,yes San Diego,yes Oregon St.,yes New York I,yes Columbus,yes Florida$9 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 17
- 2+$414yes Cincinnati,yes Jordan Love: 200+,yes Joe Burrow: 175+,yes Deshaun Watson: 125+,yes Geno Smith: 175+,yes Daniel Jones: 200+,yes Aaron Rodgers: 225+,yes Kirk Cousins: 200+,yes Drake Maye: 225+,yes Kyler Murray: 200+,yes Jameis Winston: 150+,no CLE Browns wins by over 6.5 points,no TEN Titans wins by over 6.5 points,no IND Colts wins by over 6.5 points,no LV Raiders wins by over 6.5 points,no NOLA Saints wins by over 10.5 points,no NY Giants wins by over 6.5 points,yes Over 36.5 points,yes Over 27.5 points,yes Over 45.5 points,yes Over 43.5 points,yes Over 26.5 points,yes Over 29.5 points$9 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 11
- 3+$401Milwaukee wins$55 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Miami (OH),yes Texas Tech,yes Charlotte,yes Virginia Tech,yes Illinois St.,yes Buffalo,yes Ole Miss,yes Western Michigan,yes Tennessee,yes University at Albany,yes Prairie View A&M,yes Arkansas-Pine Bluff,yes Georgia,yes Dayton,yes Tennessee Tech,yes Jackson St.,yes Grambling St.,yes Idaho,yes Idaho St.,yes Lafayette,yes Cornell,yes Eastern Illinois,yes McNeese,yes Davidson,yes Wyoming,yes West Georgia,yes Presbyterian,yes Penn St.,yes North Dakota,yes Stephen F. Austin,yes Toledo,yes Campbell,yes North Carolina,yes Air Force,yes San Diego,yes Villanova,yes Wofford,yes Tennessee-Martin,yes Southeast Missouri St.0¢20%-$5
yes Atlanta,yes Green Bay,yes Cincinnati,yes Cleveland,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Pittsburgh,yes New England,yes Washington,no DEN Broncos wins by over 3.5 points,no MIN Vikings wins by over 3.5 points,no JAC Jaguars wins by over 9.5 points,no SEA Seahawks wins by over 3.5 points,no LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points0¢20%-$5
yes Thiago Seyboth Wild,yes Junlu Sun,yes Shiho Tsujioka,yes Xiran Lan,yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles L,yes Oklahoma City,yes Portland,yes Jacksonville St.,yes San Jose,yes Anaheim,yes Colorado,yes Los Angeles,yes Winnipeg,yes Chicago,yes Utah,yes New York I,yes Vegas0¢20%-$5
yes Sergey Fomin,yes Anton Shepp,yes Kristjan Tamm,yes Junlu Sun,yes Shiho Tsujioka,yes Xiran Lan,yes Tampa Bay,yes Golden State,yes Oklahoma City,yes Portland,yes Middle Tennessee,yes Jacksonville St.,yes Colorado,yes Los Angeles,yes Winnipeg,yes Chicago,yes Utah,yes New York I,yes Vegas0¢20%-$9
BTC price up in next 15 mins?20¢41725%+$103
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$242
Kalshi leaderboards
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