Stats as of
confused.swordtail1226
+$474
- Tracked Trades
- 504
- First Seen
- Jun 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 42% won · 256 settled · +$474
confused.swordtail1226 is a Kalshi trader with 504 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 108 wins and 148 losses on settled markets, $474 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Real Madrid wins on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $58.1K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Avg entry
- 50¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,071
Profit over time
+$474-$7.0K
Jun 25Oct 14
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢939%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢10733%52%+20 pts
40 to 60¢15850%26%-24 pts
60 to 80¢11067%61%-6 pts
Over 80¢3690%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $512638%-$31
$5 to $1912636%-$117
$19 to $8812642%-$415
$89 to $8.0K12650%+$1.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer50342%+$474
Parlays1+$0
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied confused.swordtail1226
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1679
Profit
on $23700 staked
103-134
Record
43% win rate
-7%
Return
123 still open
+$1.2K-$1.8K
Jul 20Oct 12
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
242% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$11.7K won vs $13.4K lost
-6.4 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 50¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 21
- Deepest drawdown
- 69 trades
By category
sports237 settled-7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
51 open positions worth $6.0K
The markets confused.swordtail1226 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Real Madrid wins
Oct 14
Real Madrid wins
Oct 10, 2 fills
Real Madrid wins
Oct 10
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.5KReal Madrid wins$5.8K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 14
- 2+$1.8KEngland wins$2.4K on Yes at 58¢, Oct 3
- 3+$564Villarreal wins$230 on Yes at 29¢, Sep 17
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
France vs Spain: To Advance58¢20%-$4.9K
Real Madrid wins54¢1067%+$5.2K
England vs Argentina: To Advance96¢1+$0
England wins52¢450%+$1.5K
Algeria vs Austria Winner?30¢1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$886
Jul 2026-$5.3K
Aug 2026+$31
Sep 2026-$705
Oct 2026+$7.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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