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Stats as of

danielvilla

+$5.8K
Tracked Trades
512
First Seen
Nov 4, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In Soccer
44% won · 59 settled · +$2.8K

danielvilla is a Kalshi trader with 512 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 81 wins and 408 losses on settled markets, $5.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263N43PKE4PNLHTO3W-YBEWKGG2G on Oct 28.

Win rate
17%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$44.7K
Typical trade
$8.26
Avg entry
20¢
Kalshi rank
#1,300

Profit over time

+$7.2K-$972.00
Nov 4Oct 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3536%3%-3 pts
20 to 40¢7028%24%-5 pts
40 to 60¢5150%68%+18 pts
60 to 80¢2570%71%+1 pts
Over 80¢1387%89%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $21289%-$114.06
$3 to $812812%-$359.86
$8 to $1812810%-$452.22
$18 to $5.0K12838%+$6.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays43312%+$1.8K
Soccer6244%+$2.8K
Hockey3100%+$1.1K
NBA520%+$45.75
College football30%-$70.56
NFL1100%+$111.53

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied danielvilla

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$10,183.90
Profit
on $21,100.00 staked
43-168
Record
20% win rate
-48%
Return
Profit over time211 settled trades
+$0.00-$11.4K
Aug 17Oct 26
-$11.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.39×
Profit factor
$6.6K won vs $16.8K lost
+0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 20¢ avg
Longest losing streak
32
Deepest drawdown
166 trades

By category

other5 settled-46%
sports206 settled-48%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263N43PKE4PNLHTO3W-YBEWKGG2G
Oct 28
Yes54¢$968.78-$968.78
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GQWZD6WX6PX3T2QY-6CHXM2B66
Oct 27
Yes77¢$816.40-$816.40
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
Oct 26
No93¢$5.0K+$374.51
See every position across 474 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Barcelona,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes T1,yes Notre Dame,yes Washington,yes Aryna Sabalenka
    $950.80 on Yes at 25¢, Sep 6
    +$2.8K
  2. 2
    yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
    $963.17 on Yes at 46¢, Aug 29
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
    $963.88 on Yes at 47¢, Sep 16
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?93¢1100%+$374.51
Barcelona wins81¢2100%+$673.62
Minnesota wins62¢467%+$1.0K
yes Real Madrid,yes Over 2.5 goals scored67¢2100%+$949.16
yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Barcelona,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes T1,yes Notre Dame,yes Washington,yes Aryna Sabalenka25¢3100%+$2.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$13.52
Feb 2026-$222.69
Mar 2026-$650.26
Apr 2026-$57.16
May 2026-$14.30
Jun 2026-$14.46
Jul 2026+$581.54
Aug 2026+$1.2K
Sep 2026+$3.8K
Oct 2026+$1.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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