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Stats as of

disk.wine

-$2.5K
Tracked Trades
999
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Baseball
50% won · 141 settled · +$809

disk.wine is a Kalshi trader with 999 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 315 wins and 456 losses on settled markets, -$2.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266OMXEAIRYUMA7HGE-77TKWQ3QY on Oct 22.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
-4%
Money traded
$71.7K
Typical trade
$42
Avg entry
30¢
Kalshi rank
#5,637

Profit over time

+$110-$5.0K
Jun 25Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢26011%10%-1 pts
20 to 40¢23630%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢26550%54%+4 pts
60 to 80¢15867%57%-9 pts
Over 80¢8089%98%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1725046%+$467
$17 to $4225026%-$961
$42 to $9525040%-$1.5K
$95 to $1.0K24953%-$507

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays35522%-$2.0K
Soccer18437%-$1.7K
Baseball20250%+$809
NFL10061%+$709
College football9247%-$943
Hockey1694%+$467

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied disk.wine

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1729
Profit
on $48400 staked
229-255
Record
47% win rate
-4%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time484 settled trades
+$568-$4.0K
Jul 20Oct 19
-$6.0K
Max drawdown
619% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$23.8K won vs $25.5K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
304 trades

By category

sports480 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $24

The markets disk.wine is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what disk.wine is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266OMXEAIRYUMA7HGE-77TKWQ3QY
Oct 22
Yes72¢$1.0K+$410
yes Nikola Jokić,yes Matthew Tkachuk: 1+
Oct 22
Yes56¢$48-$48
no James Madison wins by over 14.5 points,no Over 57.5 points,yes Chicago wins by over 7.5 points
Oct 22
Yes10¢$23-$23
See every position across 573 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,no Goal Diff Reg Time: England wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored
    $286 on Yes at 32¢, Jul 15
    +$598
  2. 2
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XAUKO6VYKNRCIEML-JVBKQISL4
    $951 on Yes at 65¢, Oct 21
    +$517
  3. 3
    New York M vs Philadelphia Winner?
    $429 on Yes at 47¢, Jul 16
    +$486
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Full Game: over 44.5 points scored?76¢1070%+$193
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266OMXEAIRYUMA7HGE-77TKWQ3QY72¢1100%+$410
Will both teams score?54¢533%-$549
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XAUKO6VYKNRCIEML-JVBKQISL465¢1100%+$517
yes Reg Time: Argentina,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored31¢30%-$286

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$1.2K
Jul 2026-$1.8K
Aug 2026-$188
Sep 2026-$883
Oct 2026+$1.6K

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