rivomarkets

Get an alert the moment lugoat trades.

Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.

Get alerts on lugoat

Stats as of

lugoat

-$2.5K
Tracked Trades
701
First Seen
Jan 6, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In MMA
30% won ยท 30 settled ยท +$2.9K

lugoat is a Kalshi trader with 701 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 68 wins and 556 losses on settled markets, -$2.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C6C04187CAE-DA8EFDDD619 on Oct 2.

Win rate
11%
Return on settled
-12%
Money traded
$35.8K
Typical trade
$23
Avg entry
6ยข
Kalshi rank
#5,630

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$4.3K
Feb 7Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข4398%7%-1 pts
20 to 40ยข14927%13%-14 pts
40 to 60ยข4547%31%-16 pts
60 to 80ยข1867%33%-34 pts
Over 80ยข5093%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $81765%-$339
$8 to $2317511%-$530
$23 to $4617512%-$92
$46 to $1.7K17517%-$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer23013%-$2.9K
Parlays1798%+$1.1K
Baseball8316%-$977
NFL5611%-$579
MMA3130%+$2.9K
NBA565%-$1.2K

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied lugoat

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$6317
Profit
on $27700 staked
22-255
Record
8% win rate
-23%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time277 settled trades
+$5.6K-$6.3K
Jul 27Sep 28
-$14.4K
Max drawdown
178% below peak
โ€”
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.75ร—
Profit factor
$19.2K won vs $25.5K lost
-3.8 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 12ยข avg
Longest losing streak
79
Deepest drawdown
165 trades

By category

other205 settled-5%
sports72 settled-73%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $425

The markets lugoat is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lugoat is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C6C04187CAE-DA8EFDDD619
Oct 2
Sold Nosold 62ยข$1.3KExited
yes Quinshon Judkins: 1+,yes Ben Skowronek: 1+,yes Jaylen Warren: 1+
Oct 2
Yes1ยข$17-$17
yes Ronald Acuรฑa Jr.: 1+,yes Bryce Harper: 1+,yes Kyle Schwarber: 1+
Oct 1
Yes1ยข$19-$19
See every position across 348 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Joshua Palmer: 1+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+
    $33 on Yes at 2ยข, Sep 17
    +$2.0K
  2. 2
    Will Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
    $379 on Yes at 22ยข, Jun 15
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    yes New York G wins by over 6.5 points,yes CeeDee Lamb: 1+
    $94 on Yes at 7ยข, Sep 13
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
France vs England: To Advance3ยข70%-$124
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262383C4B5245-F50D40E52CF1+$0
Chicago C wins7ยข90%-$222
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C6C04187CAE-DA8EFDDD6191+$0
Kyle Pitts Sr.: 1+ touchdowns2ยข150%-$19

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$436
Mar 2026+$1.3K
Apr 2026-$561
May 2026-$393
Jun 2026-$1.2K
Jul 2026-$2.2K
Aug 2026-$882
Sep 2026+$2.1K
Oct 2026-$315

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies lugoat.

Bring lugoat into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.