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Stats as of

ruling.donkey8234

-$402.12
Tracked Trades
506
First Seen
Jun 28, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026
Best In Parlays
4% won · 236 settled · +$6.4K

ruling.donkey8234 is a Kalshi trader with 506 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 387 losses on settled markets, -$402.12 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026779479A4C2B-6A7009B56F5 on Oct 9.

Win rate
10%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$149.1K
Typical trade
$52.47
Avg entry
4¢
Kalshi rank
#5,499

Profit over time

+$9.4K-$7.4K
Jun 28Oct 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3475%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢6029%16%-14 pts
40 to 60¢3250%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢1669%38%-31 pts
Over 80¢5192%33%-59 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $241273%-$1.6K
$24 to $5312710%-$195.89
$56 to $18912610%+$351.35
$189 to $7.6K12622%+$1.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays2794%+$6.4K
Soccer8021%-$3.2K
Tennis5412%-$2.6K
Bitcoin324%-$3.1K
NFL2220%-$214.62
College football1947%+$2.5K

Side taken

Yes 80%20% No

If you had copied ruling.donkey8234

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$8,522.29
Profit
on $37,200.00 staked
34-338
Record
9% win rate
-23%
Return
Profit over time372 settled trades
+$2.7K-$8.5K
Aug 3Oct 5
-$15.0K
Max drawdown
236% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.75×
Profit factor
$25.3K won vs $33.8K lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
9% won at 11¢ avg
Longest losing streak
52
Deepest drawdown
322 trades

By category

other193 settled+6%
sports156 settled-51%
crypto20 settled-83%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026779479A4C2B-6A7009B56F5
Oct 9
Sold Nosold 91¢$1.3KExited
yes Quentin Halys,yes Yibing Wu
Oct 9
Yes5¢$72.10-$72.10
yes Matteo Berrettini,yes Quentin Halys
Oct 9
Yes9¢$31.96-$31.96
See every position across 407 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Etienne Donnet,yes Alec Deckers,yes Megan Mae Root,yes Gabriela maria Vancea
    $93.94 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 27
    +$5.4K
  2. 2
    yes Alec Deckers,yes Kristina Novak,yes Megan Mae Root
    $469.46 on Yes at 8¢, Sep 27
    +$5.2K
  3. 3
    yes Sander Arends / David Pel,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Alex Molcan,yes Jaume Munar
    $417.44 on Yes at 10¢, Sep 28
    +$3.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Jaume Munar,yes Hubert Hurkacz,yes Federico Agustin Gomez1¢20%-$46.09
yes Federico Arnaboldi,yes Kai Wehnelt,yes Quentin Halys / Lucas Miedler,yes Denis Shapovalov2¢20%-$93.33
Blake Ellis wins4¢40%-$187.85
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CCA262E0F33-23F7B72E5771+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264603BED7327-05DAF75040A1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$208.81
Jul 2026-$718.71
Aug 2026+$1.1K
Sep 2026+$3.1K
Oct 2026-$3.6K

Kalshi leaderboards

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