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Stats as of

eljefedearsenal

+$5.4K
Tracked Trades
136
First Seen
Jun 17, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In College football
45% won · 51 settled · +$10.3K

eljefedearsenal is a Kalshi trader with 136 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 78 losses on settled markets, $5.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins on Nov 2.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$73.5K
Typical trade
$467.14
Avg entry
38¢
Kalshi rank
#1,214

Profit over time

+$7.9K-$3.1K
Jun 17Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢169%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢4430%23%-7 pts
40 to 60¢6149%52%+3 pts
60 to 80¢1268%50%-18 pts
Over 80¢394%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $193349%-$2.2K
$194 to $4673424%-$2.5K
$468 to $6073445%+$1.8K
$721 to $5.7K3456%+$8.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College football5445%+$10.3K
NFL1942%+$534.05
Tennis3319%-$6.5K
Soccer3032%+$1.1K

Side taken

Yes 96%4% No

If you had copied eljefedearsenal

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$695.95
Profit
on $7,900.00 staked
33-46
Record
42% win rate
-9%
Return
Profit over time79 settled trades
+$4.16-$925.80
Aug 31Nov 2
-$925.80
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.85×
Profit factor
$3.9K won vs $4.6K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 43¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
22 trades

By category

sports76 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins
Nov 2
Yes34¢$955.84-$955.84
Kyrian Jacquet wins
Nov 2
Yes51¢$765.00-$765.00
KXATPMATCH-26NOV01NORARN-ARN
Nov 2
Yes43¢$721.22-$721.22
See every position across 82 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    South Carolina wins by over 2.5 points
    $4.6K on Yes at 50¢, Oct 23
    +$4.6K
  2. 2
    South Carolina wins
    $2.1K on Yes at 36¢, Oct 26
    +$3.7K
  3. 3
    Middle Tennessee wins
    $918.43 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 20
    +$3.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
South Carolina wins36¢2100%+$3.7K
Felix Balshaw wins51¢3100%+$1.2K
Ole Miss wins29¢50%-$2.8K
South Carolina wins by over 2.5 points50¢2100%+$2.7K
Las Vegas wins66¢1100%+$1.2K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$658.14
Sep 2026-$2.2K
Oct 2026+$8.4K
Nov 2026-$152.89

Kalshi leaderboards

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