Stats as of
fairweather
+$1.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 194
- First Seen
- Sep 27, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 30, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 99% won · 82 settled · +$1.7K
fairweather is a Kalshi trader with 194 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 170 wins and 13 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Novak Djokovic wins on Sep 30.
- Win rate
- 93%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $25.7K
- Typical trade
- $33
- Avg entry
- 86¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,471
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$557
Sep 27Sep 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢103%
20 to 40¢136%100%+64 pts
40 to 60¢251%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢2876%96%+21 pts
Over 80¢15390%92%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $84993%+$0
$8 to $354996%+$133
$36 to $994891%+$308
$111 to $2.2K4892%+$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis9099%+$1.7K
Commodities3882%-$215
Bitcoin3987%-$650
WNBA21100%+$813
Hockey2100%+$22
Parlays3100%+$220
Side taken
Yes 81%19% No
If you had copied fairweather
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1530
Profit
on $18300 staked
170-13
Record
93% win rate
+8%
Return
+$1.5K-$0
Sep 21Sep 28
-$708
Max drawdown
74% below peak
2.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.18×
Profit factor
$2.8K won vs $1.3K lost
+5.7 pts
Edge vs implied
93% won at 87¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 24 trades
By category
sports106 settled+21%
crypto38 settled-3%
finance38 settled-14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Novak Djokovic wins
Sep 30
KXWTASETWINNER-26SEP29INGSON-2-ING
Sep 30
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$626Novak Djokovic wins$2.2K on Yes at 78¢, Sep 30
- 2+$348New York wins$1.4K on Yes at 80¢, Sep 30
- 3+$289Indiana wins$967 on Yes at 77¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Sep 29, 2026?91¢29100%+$380
Gold price up in next 15 mins?89¢8100%+$414
Novak Djokovic wins78¢1100%+$626
KXWTASETWINNER-26SEP29INGSON-2-ING86¢1100%+$240
New York wins80¢2100%+$348
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 3Sep 30
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$1.9K
Kalshi leaderboards
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