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Stats as of
fellow.cicada7475
-$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 286
- First Seen
- Jun 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 25, 2026
- Best In Basketball
- 28% won · 29 settled · +$323.78
fellow.cicada7475 is a Kalshi trader with 286 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 26 wins and 206 losses on settled markets, -$1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 25.
- Win rate
- 11%
- Return on settled
- -16%
- Money traded
- $21.6K
- Typical trade
- $19.05
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,900
Profit over time
+$343.00-$2.2K
Jun 14Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1978%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢4528%26%-2 pts
40 to 60¢1149%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢1971%0%-71 pts
Over 80¢1490%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $9726%-$17.59
$9 to $197214%+$723.68
$19 to $477110%-$1.4K
$47 to $1.7K7119%-$500.73
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer17010%-$2.2K
World politics4100%+$1.3K
Basketball3928%+$323.78
WNBA2013%-$206.37
NBA60%-$163.25
Tennis50%-$53.88
Side taken
Yes 80%20% No
If you had copied fellow.cicada7475
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$1,851.22
Profit
on $6,200.00 staked
5-57
Record
8% win rate
-30%
Return
+$1.4K-$1.9K
Aug 10Oct 5
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
209% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.68×
Profit factor
$3.8K won vs $5.7K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 7¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 27
- Deepest drawdown
- 57 trades
By category
sports34 settled-13%
culture19 settled-60%
crypto7 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oct 25, 2 fills
CD Recoleta wins
Oct 5, 4 fills
CD Recoleta wins
Oct 5, 22 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$298.21 on Yes at 19¢, Oct 4
- 2+$621.72Will the final score be Spain wins 2-1?$84.78 on Yes at 12¢, Jul 10
- 3+$605.60Will the final score be England wins 3-2?$18.73 on Yes at 3¢, Jul 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?19¢4100%+$1.3K
Will the final score be Belgium wins 2-1?5¢20%-$93.76
Will the final score be Draw 3-3?3¢50%-$226.66
Will the final score be Draw 2-2?6¢60%-$159.51
Will the final score be Argentina wins 4-2?2¢20%-$18.72
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 28Oct 25
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$1.3K
Jul 2026-$680.77
Aug 2026-$29.88
Sep 2026-$26.91
Oct 2026+$860.42
Kalshi leaderboards
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