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Stats as of

tonystovall

-$1.2K
Tracked Trades
514
First Seen
Jun 6, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In Parlays
19% won ยท 63 settled ยท +$431.83

tonystovall is a Kalshi trader with 514 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 167 wins and 235 losses on settled markets, -$1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026UW72FIQR7NFNHTKN-S4EUCHT2O on Oct 21.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
-11%
Money traded
$25.0K
Typical trade
$21.32
Avg entry
13ยข
Kalshi rank
#5,903

Profit over time

+$40.00-$1.7K
Jun 6Oct 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข978%6%-2 pts
20 to 40ยข9730%33%+3 pts
40 to 60ยข12950%48%-2 pts
60 to 80ยข7669%64%-6 pts
Over 80ยข11594%90%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $712942%+$38.08
$7 to $2112931%-$433.60
$22 to $4712840%-$388.97
$47 to $2.6K12856%-$412.98

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin37352%-$448.58
Parlays7519%+$431.83
NBA3033%-$142.36
NFL520%-$118.33
WNBA80%-$163.52
Basketball50%-$173.92

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied tonystovall

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,782.62
Profit
on $2,600.00 staked
2-24
Record
8% win rate
-69%
Return
Profit over time26 settled trades
+$0.00-$1.8K
Aug 24Oct 12
-$2.3K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
โ€”
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.26ร—
Profit factor
$617.38 won vs $2.4K lost
-5.2 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 13ยข avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
24 trades

By category

sports26 settled-69%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026UW72FIQR7NFNHTKN-S4EUCHT2O
Oct 21
Sold Nosold 83ยข$680.23Exited
yes Los Angeles D,yes Baltimore,yes Bijan Robinson: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+
Oct 12
Yes8ยข$6.39-$6.39
yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes San Francisco
Oct 11
Yes15ยข$87.13+$509.65
See every position across 294 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes San Francisco
    $87.13 on Yes at 15ยข, Oct 11
    +$509.65
  2. 2
    yes Atlanta,yes San Francisco,yes Los Angeles C,yes Houston,yes Oklahoma City,yes Golden State
    $83.65 on Yes at 24ยข, Apr 8
    +$260.36
  3. 3
    Bitcoin price range on Mar 29, 2026?
    $47.50 on Yes at 19ยข, Mar 29
    +$196.50
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?50ยข29555%-$244.66
yes Chicago,yes Cincinnati,yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Pittsburgh,yes Las Vegas,yes Minnesota,yes Washington0ยข20%-$9.21
yes Chicago,yes Cincinnati,yes New York J,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Pittsburgh,yes New England,yes Minnesota,yes Washington,yes Jacksonville,yes Seattle1ยข20%-$9.28
yes Cincinnati,yes Cleveland,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Pittsburgh,yes Minnesota,yes New York G,yes Seattle1ยข20%-$7.66
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026BBE9FBED37E-FFA4954C6681+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$23.12
Dec 2025+$17.50
Jan 2026-$605.51
Feb 2026-$84.81
Mar 2026-$434.73
Apr 2026+$188.42
May 2026-$87.11
Jun 2026+$25.23
Jul 2026-$128.42
Aug 2026-$9.35
Sep 2026-$208.85
Oct 2026+$292.75

Kalshi leaderboards

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