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Stats as of

Kalshi

vpm4

-$1.2K
Tracked Trades
552
First Seen
Jul 18, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Hockey
57% won · 28 settled · +$848.71

vpm4 is a Kalshi trader with 552 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 119 losses on settled markets, -$1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Jake Ferguson: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Bhayshul Tuten: 1+,yes Justin Jefferson: 1+ on Oct 31.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
-8%
Money traded
$44.2K
Typical trade
$46.41
Avg entry
8¢
Kalshi rank
#5,939

Profit over time

+$495.00-$2.6K
Jul 20Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2438%9%+1 pts
20 to 40¢9728%24%-4 pts
40 to 60¢7750%44%-6 pts
60 to 80¢3066%74%+7 pts
Over 80¢595%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $1911315%-$116.39
$19 to $4611319%-$474.68
$46 to $9411339%+$1.5K
$94 to $6.8K11343%-$2.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays28610%+$52.13
NFL5642%+$52.60
College football3036%-$79.89
Baseball3444%-$886.20
Hockey2463%+$848.71
NBA633%-$556.47

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied vpm4

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,168.32
Profit
on $2,300.00 staked
6-17
Record
26% win rate
+51%
Return
76 still open
Profit over time23 settled trades
+$1.2K-$190.20
Aug 17Oct 26
-$873.42
Max drawdown
128% below peak
1.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.69×
Profit factor
$2.9K won vs $1.7K lost
+7.0 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 19¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
10 trades

By category

sports23 settled+51%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

76 open positions worth $2.8K

The markets vpm4 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what vpm4 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Jake Ferguson: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Bhayshul Tuten: 1+,yes Justin Jefferson: 1+
Oct 31
Yes3¢$18.67-$18.67
yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Bhayshul Tuten: 1+,yes Puka Nacua: 1+,yes Chase Brown: 1+,yes D'Andre Swift: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+
Oct 31
Yes2¢$46.61-$46.61
yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Justin Jefferson: 1+
Oct 31
Yes9¢$46.98+$493.02
See every position across 408 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    George Kittle: 1st Touchdown
    $94.13 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 19
    +$761.60
  2. 2
    yes Bijan Robinson: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+
    $94.22 on Yes at 13¢, Sep 12
    +$619.57
  3. 3
    Buffalo at New Jersey Winner?
    $568.14 on Yes at 51¢, Feb 25
    +$545.86
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Dalton Kincaid,yes Josh Allen,yes Parker Washington,yes Trevor Lawrence,yes Over 48.5 points scored1¢2+$0.00
Green Bay at Denver Winner?52¢10%-$947.96
yes Cade Cunningham: 2+,yes Duncan Robinson: 2+,yes Desmond Bane: 2+,yes Jalen Suggs: 2+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes James Harden: 2+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 25+,yes James Harden: 15+8¢2+$0.00
yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes James Harden: 2+60¢1+$0.00
Washington vs Green Bay Winner?63¢2100%+$448.44

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$160.20
Dec 2025-$970.63
Jan 2026-$436.58
Feb 2026+$969.34
Mar 2026-$95.55
Apr 2026+$97.75
May 2026-$481.15
Jun 2026-$378.08
Jul 2026-$288.96
Aug 2026+$280.67
Sep 2026+$280.49
Oct 2026+$835.76

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