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Stats as of

fraud.arm

-$9.9K
Tracked Trades
54
First Seen
Jan 8, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026

fraud.arm is a Kalshi trader with 54 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9 wins and 41 losses on settled markets, -$9.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine? on Nov 3.

Win rate
18%
Return on settled
-67%
Money traded
$15.7K
Typical trade
$143.33
Avg entry
25¢
Kalshi rank
#6,748

Profit over time

+$0.00-$9.9K
Jan 8Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2415%0%-15 pts
20 to 40¢1128%0%-28 pts
40 to 60¢1350%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢263%100%+37 pts
Over 80¢493%50%-43 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$9 to $94148%-$714.55
$94 to $188147%-$1.3K
$189 to $2871331%-$1.1K
$297 to $4.4K1327%-$6.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections20%-$4.4K
Weather210%-$3.9K
NFL1086%+$1.2K
Mentions520%-$495.66
US politics50%-$852.75
Bitcoin520%-$652.44

Side taken

Yes 48%52% No

If you had copied fraud.arm

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

1 of 5 needed have resolved. 6 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $42.78

The markets fraud.arm is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fraud.arm is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Yes31¢$4.4K-$4.4K
Alabama at Florida Winner?
Feb 1, 6 fills
Yes11¢$94.05-$94.05
Pro Football AFC Championship Winner?
Jan 25
Yes48¢$482.40-$482.40
See every position across 24 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    San Francisco at Philadelphia Winner?
    $431.20 on Yes at 40¢, Jan 11
    +$646.80
  2. 2
    Buffalo at Denver Winner?
    $384.56 on Yes at 44¢, Jan 17
    +$489.44
  3. 3
    Los Angeles L wins by over 9.5 Points?
    $459.00 on No at 51¢, Jan 12
    +$441.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?31¢10%-$4.4K
Snow in Dallas in Jan 2026?18¢210%-$3.9K
Buffalo at Denver Winner?44¢2100%+$489.44
What will the announcers say during San Francisco at Philadelphia professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 11, 2026?58¢4100%+$195.92
What will Donald Trump say during CBS Evening News?52¢333%-$306.98

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$5.4K
Feb 2026-$94.05
Nov 2026-$4.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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