idiotboybilly
+$8.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Feb 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Jul 29, 2026
- Followers
- 2
- Best In US politics
- 41% won · 128 settled · +$8.9K
idiotboybilly is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 52 wins and 76 losses on settled markets, $8.9K net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $342.9K
Profit over time
+$11.3K+$0
Feb 11Feb 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4404%0%-4 pts
20 to 40¢232%
40 to 60¢253%
60 to 80¢375%
Over 80¢55395%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $12500%-$10
$1 to $925023%-$90
$9 to $2625067%-$48
$26 to $61K25083%+$9.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
US politics98141%+$8.9K
US elections11+$0
World politics7+$0
Entertainment1+$0
Side taken
Yes 54%46% No
If you had copied idiotboybilly
$100 per trade, last 90 days
Nothing to simulate
We have not tracked an entry from idiotboybilly in the last 90 days.
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?
Jul 29, avg 67¢
Will Pope Leo XIV visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?
Jun 18, avg 79¢
Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?
Jun 9, 2 fills, avg 90¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$12.5KWill Trump next nominate Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?$247.7K on Yes, Feb 26
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will Trump next nominate Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?66148%+$9.4K
Will Matt Gaetz announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?8+$0
Will the US government be shut down for at least 10 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?40+$0
Will the US government be shut down for at least 25 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?240%-$283
Will the US government be shut down for at least 20 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?47+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
May 1Jul 29
Profit by month
Feb 2026+$8.9K
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