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Stats as of
initial.grouse8219
+$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 757
- First Seen
- Sep 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 28% won · 115 settled · +$2.1K
initial.grouse8219 is a Kalshi trader with 757 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 271 wins and 257 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MI3FDCBPPPWD6QBO-KFH5KEOAF on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 51%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $38.2K
- Typical trade
- $13.27
- Avg entry
- 51¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,961
Profit over time
+$1.2K-$956.00
Sep 18Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1338%13%+4 pts
20 to 40¢16730%33%+2 pts
40 to 60¢17050%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢13970%68%-2 pts
Over 80¢14891%92%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $219036%+$3.31
$2 to $1318948%+$265.64
$13 to $3918954%+$15.18
$39 to $1.1K18970%+$868.24
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer48862%-$838.76
Parlays16028%+$2.1K
NFL5039%-$84.69
College football3033%-$39.09
Bitcoin1150%-$1.01
Commodities950%-$1.90
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied initial.grouse8219
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$885.65
Profit
on $45,000.00 staked
230-220
Record
51% win rate
+2%
Return
+$5.1K-$100.00
Sep 14Nov 2
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
85% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.04×
Profit factor
$22.9K won vs $22.0K lost
-0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 52¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 198 trades
By category
sports436 settled+2%
crypto7 settled-14%
finance5 settled-19%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MI3FDCBPPPWD6QBO-KFH5KEOAF
Nov 4
yes Barcelona,no Villarreal,yes Real Madrid
Nov 4, 3 fills
yes Real Madrid,no Fenerbahce,no Leipzig,yes Arsenal,yes Over 0.5 goals scored
Nov 4, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$834.43KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026WB4APGC7TQZOXOPW-ORXGNMW7H$868.49 on Yes at 51¢, Nov 2
- 2+$737.44KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267LSAJYOWCN673QKY-CNZOL56O4$675.28 on Yes at 48¢, Oct 29
- 3+$639.84yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Roma,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored$480.72 on Yes at 43¢, Oct 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Belarus wins91¢3100%+$96.31
Toluca wins78¢40%-$789.08
yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Roma,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored43¢2100%+$639.84
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026WB4APGC7TQZOXOPW-ORXGNMW7H51¢2100%+$834.43
Spain wins74¢5100%+$450.51
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$937.36
Oct 2026+$883.83
Nov 2026+$1.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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