rivomarkets

liltweak

+$162
Tracked Trades
978
First Seen
Apr 29, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 26, 2026
Followers
15
Best In Baseball
52% won · 155 settled · +$2.0K

liltweak is a Kalshi trader with 978 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 192 wins and 177 losses on settled markets, $162 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMLB-26-MIL on Sep 26.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$81.7K
Typical trade
$48
Copy score
50/100
Kalshi rank
#3,290

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$803
Apr 30Sep 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢15111%12%+1 pts
20 to 40¢16631%27%-4 pts
40 to 60¢43351%57%+7 pts
60 to 80¢18665%67%+1 pts
Over 80¢4293%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1424559%+$55
$14 to $4824544%+$55
$48 to $10624454%+$311
$108 to $1.2K24451%-$259

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball36252%+$2.0K
Parlays23210%-$1.8K
Golf6012%-$487
College football6756%-$359
Soccer6840%-$25
Hockey2560%+$150

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied liltweak

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1491
Profit
on $23400 staked
133-101
Record
57% win rate
+6%
Return
254 still open
Profit over time234 settled trades
+$1.9K-$713
Jun 29Sep 21
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
142% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$11.6K won vs $10.1K lost
+5.4 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
70 trades

By category

other231 settled+6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

163 open positions worth $21.2K

The markets liltweak is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what liltweak is holding

Recent positions

Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?
Sep 26, 3 fills, avg 87¢
SELLNO$3.2KOpen
yes Boston,no Clemson wins by over 10.5 points,yes Indiana wins by over 9.5 points
Sep 25, avg 28¢
BUYYES$48-$48
Los Angeles D wins
Sep 25, 8 fills, avg 59¢
BUYYES$144-$144
See every position across 608 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Milwaukee wins
    $213 on Yes, Sep 2
    +$531
  2. 2
    T1 wins
    $486 on Yes, Aug 29
    +$515
  3. 3
    KXMLBGAME-26AUG291915TEXMIL-MIL
    $780 on Yes, Aug 29
    +$478
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?16+$0
Milwaukee wins1342%-$226
Will Rory McIlroy win the Amgen Irish Open?50%-$157
yes Isaac Becroft,yes Kokoro Isomura,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Matthew Dellavedova,yes HOU Texans,yes LA Chargers,yes Atlanta,yes Connecticut20%-$1.3K
KXMLB-26-MIL1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 29Sep 26

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$28
May 2026-$258
Jun 2026-$81
Jul 2026-$183
Aug 2026+$873
Sep 2026-$160

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